Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party secured a parliamentary majority in the House of Commons following sweeping victories in federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, combined with prior floor-crossers from opposition ranks. This eliminates the vulnerabilities of the previous minority government, such as confidence votes or no-confidence motions that could trigger a snap election. With a stable majority and no fixed-date election until October 2027, traders reflect near-certain consensus at 97% against another federal election by June 30 via the Governor General's proclamation. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary events like a major scandal eroding support, mass defections, or an unlikely voluntary call by Carney amid favorable polling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$76,690 Vol.
$76,690 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$76,690 Vol.
$76,690 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party secured a parliamentary majority in the House of Commons following sweeping victories in federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, combined with prior floor-crossers from opposition ranks. This eliminates the vulnerabilities of the previous minority government, such as confidence votes or no-confidence motions that could trigger a snap election. With a stable majority and no fixed-date election until October 2027, traders reflect near-certain consensus at 97% against another federal election by June 30 via the Governor General's proclamation. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary events like a major scandal eroding support, mass defections, or an unlikely voluntary call by Carney amid favorable polling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET
Volume
$76,690Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party secured a parliamentary majority in the House of Commons following sweeping victories in federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, combined with prior floor-crossers from opposition ranks. This eliminates the vulnerabilities of the previous minority government, such as confidence votes or no-confidence motions that could trigger a snap election. With a stable majority and no fixed-date election until October 2027, traders reflect near-certain consensus at 97% against another federal election by June 30 via the Governor General's proclamation. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary events like a major scandal eroding support, mass defections, or an unlikely voluntary call by Carney amid favorable polling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$76,690Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party secured a parliamentary majority in the House of Commons following sweeping victories in federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, combined with prior floor-crossers from opposition ranks. This eliminates the vulnerabilities of the previous minority government, such as confidence votes or no-confidence motions that could trigger a snap election. With a stable majority and no fixed-date election until October 2027, traders reflect near-certain consensus at 97% against another federal election by June 30 via the Governor General's proclamation. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary events like a major scandal eroding support, mass defections, or an unlikely voluntary call by Carney amid favorable polling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti