In California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a strong intraparty challenge from Eric Jones, a progressive venture capitalist and nonprofit leader who has outraised him with $2.6 million in receipts and surpassed 100,000 doors knocked by late February. Six Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, Sharon Brown, L. John MacKenzie, Jimih Jones, and Chuck Uribe—plus independent Thomas Roach fragment the non-Democratic vote, boosting odds both Democrats advance under the top-two system. Recent Prop 50 redistricting narrowed the district's Democratic lean from prior cycles, while Jones's April media push highlights generational contrasts. Voter registration closes May 18, with early ballots mailing soon after.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$20,463 Vol.
2 giu 2026
Mike Thompson
98%
Eric Jones
96%
Trevor Merrell
16%
Heath Fulkerson
8%
Sharon Brown
6%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
John Wesley Tyler
45%
$20,463 Vol.
Mike Thompson
$6,502 Vol.
98%
Eric Jones
$4,011 Vol.
96%
Trevor Merrell
$6,288 Vol.
16%
Heath Fulkerson
$0 Vol.
8%
Sharon Brown
$1,605 Vol.
6%
Mandy Ghusar
$728 Vol.
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 Vol.
5%
John Wesley Tyler
$618 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a strong intraparty challenge from Eric Jones, a progressive venture capitalist and nonprofit leader who has outraised him with $2.6 million in receipts and surpassed 100,000 doors knocked by late February. Six Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, Sharon Brown, L. John MacKenzie, Jimih Jones, and Chuck Uribe—plus independent Thomas Roach fragment the non-Democratic vote, boosting odds both Democrats advance under the top-two system. Recent Prop 50 redistricting narrowed the district's Democratic lean from prior cycles, while Jones's April media push highlights generational contrasts. Voter registration closes May 18, with early ballots mailing soon after.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Volume
$20,463Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a strong intraparty challenge from Eric Jones, a progressive venture capitalist and nonprofit leader who has outraised him with $2.6 million in receipts and surpassed 100,000 doors knocked by late February. Six Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, Sharon Brown, L. John MacKenzie, Jimih Jones, and Chuck Uribe—plus independent Thomas Roach fragment the non-Democratic vote, boosting odds both Democrats advance under the top-two system. Recent Prop 50 redistricting narrowed the district's Democratic lean from prior cycles, while Jones's April media push highlights generational contrasts. Voter registration closes May 18, with early ballots mailing soon after.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,463Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a strong intraparty challenge from Eric Jones, a progressive venture capitalist and nonprofit leader who has outraised him with $2.6 million in receipts and surpassed 100,000 doors knocked by late February. Six Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, Sharon Brown, L. John MacKenzie, Jimih Jones, and Chuck Uribe—plus independent Thomas Roach fragment the non-Democratic vote, boosting odds both Democrats advance under the top-two system. Recent Prop 50 redistricting narrowed the district's Democratic lean from prior cycles, while Jones's April media push highlights generational contrasts. Voter registration closes May 18, with early ballots mailing soon after.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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