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icon for Haiti elections delayed again?

Haiti elections delayed again?

icon for Haiti elections delayed again?

Haiti elections delayed again?

32% probabilità
Polymarket

$12,530 Vol.

32% probabilità
Polymarket

$12,530 Vol.

After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Ongoing gang violence, chronic funding shortfalls, and institutional friction between Haiti’s Provisional Electoral Council and Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé’s transitional government have repeatedly postponed elections since 2019. The council’s revised calendar, approved in December 2025, targets a first round on August 30, 2026, with a December runoff, supported by recent party registrations and a new electoral decree. April 2026 postponement of voter registration without announced replacement dates underscores persistent logistical risks, yet authorities continue preparations aimed at installing elected officials by February 2027. Traders’ 60.5 percent “No” consensus reflects the current timeline holding despite these hurdles, with any major security deterioration or budget impasse remaining the clearest triggers for further slippage.

After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,530
Data di fine
30 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Ongoing gang violence, chronic funding shortfalls, and institutional friction between Haiti’s Provisional Electoral Council and Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé’s transitional government have repeatedly postponed elections since 2019. The council’s revised calendar, approved in December 2025, targets a first round on August 30, 2026, with a December runoff, supported by recent party registrations and a new electoral decree. April 2026 postponement of voter registration without announced replacement dates underscores persistent logistical risks, yet authorities continue preparations aimed at installing elected officials by February 2027. Traders’ 60.5 percent “No” consensus reflects the current timeline holding despite these hurdles, with any major security deterioration or budget impasse remaining the clearest triggers for further slippage.

After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,537
Data di fine
30 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Haiti elections delayed again?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 32% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 32¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 32% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Haiti elections delayed again?" ha generato $12.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 27, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Haiti elections delayed again?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Haiti elections delayed again?" è 32% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 32% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Haiti elections delayed again?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.