Ongoing gang violence, chronic funding shortfalls, and institutional friction between Haiti’s Provisional Electoral Council and Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé’s transitional government have repeatedly postponed elections since 2019. The council’s revised calendar, approved in December 2025, targets a first round on August 30, 2026, with a December runoff, supported by recent party registrations and a new electoral decree. April 2026 postponement of voter registration without announced replacement dates underscores persistent logistical risks, yet authorities continue preparations aimed at installing elected officials by February 2027. Traders’ 60.5 percent “No” consensus reflects the current timeline holding despite these hurdles, with any major security deterioration or budget impasse remaining the clearest triggers for further slippage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$12,530 Vol.
$12,530 Vol.
$12,530 Vol.
$12,530 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing gang violence, chronic funding shortfalls, and institutional friction between Haiti’s Provisional Electoral Council and Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé’s transitional government have repeatedly postponed elections since 2019. The council’s revised calendar, approved in December 2025, targets a first round on August 30, 2026, with a December runoff, supported by recent party registrations and a new electoral decree. April 2026 postponement of voter registration without announced replacement dates underscores persistent logistical risks, yet authorities continue preparations aimed at installing elected officials by February 2027. Traders’ 60.5 percent “No” consensus reflects the current timeline holding despite these hurdles, with any major security deterioration or budget impasse remaining the clearest triggers for further slippage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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