Latest short-range forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Ankara will experience sunny, stable high-pressure conditions through August 5, supporting daily highs of 32–33°C with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. This aligns with climatological August norms of 30–32°C averages, where daytime radiative heating under clear skies typically peaks in the low-to-mid 30s. Recent observations show temperatures running slightly above seasonal baselines (32–35°C on August 2–3), but no incoming fronts or moisture advection are projected to alter the thermal profile before resolution. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 32°C (54%) and 33°C (32.5%) because ensemble consensus shows low variance in maximum temperature outputs, with only modest upside potential if insolation exceeds expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 5 agosto?
32°C 55%
33°C 35%
31°C 22%
30°C 13%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
13%
31°C
22%
32°C
55%
33°C
35%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
33°C 35%
31°C 22%
30°C 13%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
13%
31°C
22%
32°C
55%
33°C
35%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Ankara will experience sunny, stable high-pressure conditions through August 5, supporting daily highs of 32–33°C with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. This aligns with climatological August norms of 30–32°C averages, where daytime radiative heating under clear skies typically peaks in the low-to-mid 30s. Recent observations show temperatures running slightly above seasonal baselines (32–35°C on August 2–3), but no incoming fronts or moisture advection are projected to alter the thermal profile before resolution. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 32°C (54%) and 33°C (32.5%) because ensemble consensus shows low variance in maximum temperature outputs, with only modest upside potential if insolation exceeds expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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