Persistent late-summer heat under mostly sunny skies anchors trader expectations for Austin’s August 8 high near the upper 90s. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance centers on 96–101 °F, matching the market’s heaviest weighting on the 98–99 °F bin (43.5 % implied probability) followed by 96–97 °F (26.5 %). August climatology shows an average daily high of ~98 °F, the month’s warmest period, with NOAA’s seasonal outlook favoring warmer-than-normal conditions across central Texas. Limited model spread and absence of significant frontal passages or increased cloud cover in the latest runs reinforce the current distribution, while any upward revision in forecast highs could shift volume toward the 100–101 °F outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin l'8 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Austin l'8 agosto?
98-99°F 44%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
87°F o inferiore
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
44%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
4%
106°F o superiore
1%
98-99°F 44%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
87°F o inferiore
$171 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$132 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$12 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$22 Vol.
4%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
11%
96-97°F
$155 Vol.
28%
98-99°F
$71 Vol.
44%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
13%
102-103°F
$94 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$34 Vol.
4%
106°F o superiore
$34 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer heat under mostly sunny skies anchors trader expectations for Austin’s August 8 high near the upper 90s. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance centers on 96–101 °F, matching the market’s heaviest weighting on the 98–99 °F bin (43.5 % implied probability) followed by 96–97 °F (26.5 %). August climatology shows an average daily high of ~98 °F, the month’s warmest period, with NOAA’s seasonal outlook favoring warmer-than-normal conditions across central Texas. Limited model spread and absence of significant frontal passages or increased cloud cover in the latest runs reinforce the current distribution, while any upward revision in forecast highs could shift volume toward the 100–101 °F outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$730Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer heat under mostly sunny skies anchors trader expectations for Austin’s August 8 high near the upper 90s. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance centers on 96–101 °F, matching the market’s heaviest weighting on the 98–99 °F bin (43.5 % implied probability) followed by 96–97 °F (26.5 %). August climatology shows an average daily high of ~98 °F, the month’s warmest period, with NOAA’s seasonal outlook favoring warmer-than-normal conditions across central Texas. Limited model spread and absence of significant frontal passages or increased cloud cover in the latest runs reinforce the current distribution, while any upward revision in forecast highs could shift volume toward the 100–101 °F outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$730Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent late-summer heat under mostly sunny skies anchors trader expectations for Austin’s August 8 high near the upper 90s. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance centers on 96–101 °F, matching the market’s heaviest weighting on the 98–99 °F bin (43.5 % implied probability) followed by 96–97 °F (26.5 %). August climatology shows an average daily high of ~98 °F, the month’s warmest period, with NOAA’s seasonal outlook favoring warmer-than-normal conditions across central Texas. Limited model spread and absence of significant frontal passages or increased cloud cover in the latest runs reinforce the current distribution, while any upward revision in forecast highs could shift volume toward the 100–101 °F outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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