Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Austin shows a forecast high near 98–100°F on August 7 amid persistent summer heat under mostly sunny skies and a stable high-pressure pattern typical of central Texas in peak season. This consensus, consistent with climatological averages in the mid-to-upper 90s and a low likelihood of exceeding 101°F, underpins the market-implied 53.5% probability for 98–99°F as the leading outcome. Traders weigh these official model runs and historical analogs against minor uncertainties in afternoon mixing or slight cloud cover, with probabilities for 96–97°F (28.5%) reflecting downside risks if steering patterns shift modestly before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 7 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 7 agosto?
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 29%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 ago 2026
89°F o inferiore
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F o superiore
<1%
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 29%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 ago 2026
89°F o inferiore
$416 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$789 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$184 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$96 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$1,093 Vol.
29%
98-99°F
$1,725 Vol.
54%
100-101°F
$172 Vol.
13%
102-103°F
$128 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$203 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$346 Vol.
<1%
108°F o superiore
$279 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Austin shows a forecast high near 98–100°F on August 7 amid persistent summer heat under mostly sunny skies and a stable high-pressure pattern typical of central Texas in peak season. This consensus, consistent with climatological averages in the mid-to-upper 90s and a low likelihood of exceeding 101°F, underpins the market-implied 53.5% probability for 98–99°F as the leading outcome. Traders weigh these official model runs and historical analogs against minor uncertainties in afternoon mixing or slight cloud cover, with probabilities for 96–97°F (28.5%) reflecting downside risks if steering patterns shift modestly before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,432Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Austin shows a forecast high near 98–100°F on August 7 amid persistent summer heat under mostly sunny skies and a stable high-pressure pattern typical of central Texas in peak season. This consensus, consistent with climatological averages in the mid-to-upper 90s and a low likelihood of exceeding 101°F, underpins the market-implied 53.5% probability for 98–99°F as the leading outcome. Traders weigh these official model runs and historical analogs against minor uncertainties in afternoon mixing or slight cloud cover, with probabilities for 96–97°F (28.5%) reflecting downside risks if steering patterns shift modestly before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,432Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Austin shows a forecast high near 98–100°F on August 7 amid persistent summer heat under mostly sunny skies and a stable high-pressure pattern typical of central Texas in peak season. This consensus, consistent with climatological averages in the mid-to-upper 90s and a low likelihood of exceeding 101°F, underpins the market-implied 53.5% probability for 98–99°F as the leading outcome. Traders weigh these official model runs and historical analogs against minor uncertainties in afternoon mixing or slight cloud cover, with probabilities for 96–97°F (28.5%) reflecting downside risks if steering patterns shift modestly before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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