**Trader consensus on the Cape Town highest-temperature market heavily favors 17°C or below because real-time observations and official forecasts show the day’s maximum remaining at or below that threshold.** On September 9, 2026, Cape Town International Airport and other stations recorded afternoon temperatures around 15–17°C under overcast skies and persistent southerly winds of 15–25 km/h, consistent with a cool maritime air mass typical of early spring. Multiple forecast models (including those from the South African Weather Service and international guidance) projected daytime highs of 16–19°C but with limited insolation due to cloud cover and strong onshore flow, keeping actual peaks at the lower end of that range. This aligns with the broader September climatology of average highs near 18°C, though recent days had been warmer before the current regime shift. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects the strength of the observational data and model agreement at this late stage of the day. A realistic scenario that could still alter the outcome would require rapid clearing and reduced wind speeds allowing additional solar heating in the final hours, though current conditions make that improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Capo il 9 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Capo il 9 settembre?
17°C o inferiore 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$50,036 Vol.
$50,036 Vol.
9 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
Sì
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C o superiore
No
17°C o inferiore 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$50,036 Vol.
$50,036 Vol.
9 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
$10,402 Vol.
Sì
18°C
$5,400 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,104 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,155 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,027 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,408 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,731 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,323 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,043 Vol.
No
26°C
$282 Vol.
No
27°C o superiore
$2,160 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Cape Town highest-temperature market heavily favors 17°C or below because real-time observations and official forecasts show the day’s maximum remaining at or below that threshold.** On September 9, 2026, Cape Town International Airport and other stations recorded afternoon temperatures around 15–17°C under overcast skies and persistent southerly winds of 15–25 km/h, consistent with a cool maritime air mass typical of early spring. Multiple forecast models (including those from the South African Weather Service and international guidance) projected daytime highs of 16–19°C but with limited insolation due to cloud cover and strong onshore flow, keeping actual peaks at the lower end of that range. This aligns with the broader September climatology of average highs near 18°C, though recent days had been warmer before the current regime shift.
The near-certain market-implied probability reflects the strength of the observational data and model agreement at this late stage of the day. A realistic scenario that could still alter the outcome would require rapid clearing and reduced wind speeds allowing additional solar heating in the final hours, though current conditions make that improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$50,036Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Cape Town highest-temperature market heavily favors 17°C or below because real-time observations and official forecasts show the day’s maximum remaining at or below that threshold.** On September 9, 2026, Cape Town International Airport and other stations recorded afternoon temperatures around 15–17°C under overcast skies and persistent southerly winds of 15–25 km/h, consistent with a cool maritime air mass typical of early spring. Multiple forecast models (including those from the South African Weather Service and international guidance) projected daytime highs of 16–19°C but with limited insolation due to cloud cover and strong onshore flow, keeping actual peaks at the lower end of that range. This aligns with the broader September climatology of average highs near 18°C, though recent days had been warmer before the current regime shift.
The near-certain market-implied probability reflects the strength of the observational data and model agreement at this late stage of the day. A realistic scenario that could still alter the outcome would require rapid clearing and reduced wind speeds allowing additional solar heating in the final hours, though current conditions make that improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,036Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
**Trader consensus on the Cape Town highest-temperature market heavily favors 17°C or below because real-time observations and official forecasts show the day’s maximum remaining at or below that threshold.** On September 9, 2026, Cape Town International Airport and other stations recorded afternoon temperatures around 15–17°C under overcast skies and persistent southerly winds of 15–25 km/h, consistent with a cool maritime air mass typical of early spring. Multiple forecast models (including those from the South African Weather Service and international guidance) projected daytime highs of 16–19°C but with limited insolation due to cloud cover and strong onshore flow, keeping actual peaks at the lower end of that range. This aligns with the broader September climatology of average highs near 18°C, though recent days had been warmer before the current regime shift. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects the strength of the observational data and model agreement at this late stage of the day. A realistic scenario that could still alter the outcome would require rapid clearing and reduced wind speeds allowing additional solar heating in the final hours, though current conditions make that improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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