Cooler-than-normal conditions dominate forecasts for Chicago on June 22, with National Weather Service and private models clustering daily highs in the upper 60s to low 70s—well below the 82°F climatological normal—due to northerly flow and possible lake-breeze moderation from Lake Michigan. Recent model runs show tight agreement on limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover and a post-frontal air mass, keeping peak temperatures from reaching seasonal averages. Trader sentiment clusters around the 68–73°F bins because small shifts in timing of any clearing or wind direction could easily swing the observed high by a few degrees, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range given the consensus guidance and low odds of either strong warming or a deeper cool outbreak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chicago on June 22?
72-73°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$42,619 Vol.
$42,619 Vol.
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$42,619 Vol.
$42,619 Vol.
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Cooler-than-normal conditions dominate forecasts for Chicago on June 22, with National Weather Service and private models clustering daily highs in the upper 60s to low 70s—well below the 82°F climatological normal—due to northerly flow and possible lake-breeze moderation from Lake Michigan. Recent model runs show tight agreement on limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover and a post-frontal air mass, keeping peak temperatures from reaching seasonal averages. Trader sentiment clusters around the 68–73°F bins because small shifts in timing of any clearing or wind direction could easily swing the observed high by a few degrees, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range given the consensus guidance and low odds of either strong warming or a deeper cool outbreak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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