Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a maximum temperature of 32–34°C in Jinan on September 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly to southwesterly flow. This consensus across models supports the market-implied 50% probability on 26°C or higher, consistent with typical mid-September climatology in Shandong where daytime highs often reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates. Low precipitation chances and minimal cloud cover further reduce downside risks to the outcome. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates against any potential model shifts in the final 24-hour window before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan il 15 settembre?
26°C o superiore 97%
16°C o inferiore 4%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C o inferiore
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C o superiore
78%
26°C o superiore 97%
16°C o inferiore 4%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C o inferiore
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C o superiore
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a maximum temperature of 32–34°C in Jinan on September 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly to southwesterly flow. This consensus across models supports the market-implied 50% probability on 26°C or higher, consistent with typical mid-September climatology in Shandong where daytime highs often reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates. Low precipitation chances and minimal cloud cover further reduce downside risks to the outcome. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates against any potential model shifts in the final 24-hour window before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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