Recent forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department point to partly cloudy skies with a 30-50% chance of isolated thundershowers in Lucknow on September 18, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a weak trough. These conditions create tight differentiation among 32–35°C outcomes: afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress peak heating to 32–33°C, while breaks allowing stronger solar insolation push readings to 34–35°C under typical September humidity of 70–85% and light winds. Model consensus remains close, with limited historical analogs for late-monsoon variability this year, leaving trader-implied odds evenly spread until updated short-range guidance arrives.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 18 settembre?
32°C 39%
33°C 36%
31°C 33%
34°C 28%
27°C o inferiore
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
33%
32°C
39%
33°C
36%
34°C
28%
35°C
16%
36°C
3%
37°C o superiore
5%
32°C 39%
33°C 36%
31°C 33%
34°C 28%
27°C o inferiore
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
33%
32°C
39%
33°C
36%
34°C
28%
35°C
16%
36°C
3%
37°C o superiore
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department point to partly cloudy skies with a 30-50% chance of isolated thundershowers in Lucknow on September 18, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a weak trough. These conditions create tight differentiation among 32–35°C outcomes: afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress peak heating to 32–33°C, while breaks allowing stronger solar insolation push readings to 34–35°C under typical September humidity of 70–85% and light winds. Model consensus remains close, with limited historical analogs for late-monsoon variability this year, leaving trader-implied odds evenly spread until updated short-range guidance arrives.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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