Current meteorological models project Mexico City’s July 29 maximum in the 24–26 °C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions during the peak of the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Small differences in forecast timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or weak upper-level steering patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed tight probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance released overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 29 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 29 luglio?
26°C 37%
25°C 28%
24°C 24%
23°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 lug 2026
17°C o inferiore
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
37%
27°C o superiore
7%
26°C 37%
25°C 28%
24°C 24%
23°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 lug 2026
17°C o inferiore
$95 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$368 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$92 Vol.
3%
22°C
$106 Vol.
3%
23°C
$136 Vol.
8%
24°C
$127 Vol.
24%
25°C
$147 Vol.
28%
26°C
$1,171 Vol.
37%
27°C o superiore
$205 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological models project Mexico City’s July 29 maximum in the 24–26 °C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions during the peak of the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Small differences in forecast timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or weak upper-level steering patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed tight probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance released overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 27, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,352Data di fine
29 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological models project Mexico City’s July 29 maximum in the 24–26 °C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions during the peak of the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Small differences in forecast timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or weak upper-level steering patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed tight probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance released overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,352Data di fine
29 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological models project Mexico City’s July 29 maximum in the 24–26 °C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions during the peak of the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Small differences in forecast timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or weak upper-level steering patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed tight probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance released overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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