National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs indicate mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds for Dallas on September 23, sustaining afternoon highs in the mid-90s. This positions the 94-95°F bin as the market leader at 45% implied probability, closely followed by 92-93°F at 30%, reflecting the narrow range of official guidance around 94-96°F and limited upside potential from 96-97°F at 24.5%. Recent stabilization after Monday's near-98°F peak and the end of a prolonged dry spell have reduced volatility in short-term temperature outlooks, with negligible chances assigned to extremes below 92°F or above 97°F. Traders are monitoring any final NWS adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Dallas il 23 settembre?
94-95°F 49%
92-93°F 28%
96-97°F 20%
90-91°F 4%
85°F o inferiore
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
28%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
20%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F o superiore
<1%
94-95°F 49%
92-93°F 28%
96-97°F 20%
90-91°F 4%
85°F o inferiore
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
28%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
20%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs indicate mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds for Dallas on September 23, sustaining afternoon highs in the mid-90s. This positions the 94-95°F bin as the market leader at 45% implied probability, closely followed by 92-93°F at 30%, reflecting the narrow range of official guidance around 94-96°F and limited upside potential from 96-97°F at 24.5%. Recent stabilization after Monday's near-98°F peak and the end of a prolonged dry spell have reduced volatility in short-term temperature outlooks, with negligible chances assigned to extremes below 92°F or above 97°F. Traders are monitoring any final NWS adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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