Current short-range forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a September 2 high of 24–25°C in Munich under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on those bins. Stable high pressure and residual warm subtropical air are limiting daytime mixing while clear periods allow sufficient solar heating; overnight lows near 12–14°C further constrain the daily range. Model agreement remains high for this 48-hour window, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could trim or add 1°C. Historical early-September averages hover near 19–22°C, so the current setup reflects a modestly above-normal late-summer pattern with low precipitation risk. Updated model runs and official DWD guidance expected in the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 2 settembre?
25°C 53%
24°C 26%
26°C 17%
23°C 4%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
26%
25°C
53%
26°C
17%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 53%
24°C 26%
26°C 17%
23°C 4%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
26%
25°C
53%
26°C
17%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a September 2 high of 24–25°C in Munich under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on those bins. Stable high pressure and residual warm subtropical air are limiting daytime mixing while clear periods allow sufficient solar heating; overnight lows near 12–14°C further constrain the daily range. Model agreement remains high for this 48-hour window, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could trim or add 1°C. Historical early-September averages hover near 19–22°C, so the current setup reflects a modestly above-normal late-summer pattern with low precipitation risk. Updated model runs and official DWD guidance expected in the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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