Trader consensus has consolidated at near-certainty for a 68-69°F high in New York City on May 22 because official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum in that range. Following an early-week warm spell that briefly pushed readings into the low 70s, persistent high pressure, increased cloud cover, and light winds suppressed surface heating and vertical mixing, keeping temperatures aligned with late-May climatological norms. NOAA model consensus showed minimal spread around these values, and final afternoon updates confirmed the outcome without revision. Only an unexpected station calibration error or localized microclimate anomaly exceeding documented observational uncertainty would alter the recorded maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in NYC on May 22?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 22?
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$101,106 Vol.
$101,106 Vol.
22 mag 2026
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$101,106 Vol.
$101,106 Vol.
22 mag 2026
57°F or below
$5,079 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$2,875 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$14,768 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$9,499 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$9,954 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$20,806 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$12,025 Vol.
Yes
70-71°F
$9,140 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$6,331 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,655 Vol.
No
76°F or higher
$7,975 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has consolidated at near-certainty for a 68-69°F high in New York City on May 22 because official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum in that range. Following an early-week warm spell that briefly pushed readings into the low 70s, persistent high pressure, increased cloud cover, and light winds suppressed surface heating and vertical mixing, keeping temperatures aligned with late-May climatological norms. NOAA model consensus showed minimal spread around these values, and final afternoon updates confirmed the outcome without revision. Only an unexpected station calibration error or localized microclimate anomaly exceeding documented observational uncertainty would alter the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$101,106Data di fine
22 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has consolidated at near-certainty for a 68-69°F high in New York City on May 22 because official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum in that range. Following an early-week warm spell that briefly pushed readings into the low 70s, persistent high pressure, increased cloud cover, and light winds suppressed surface heating and vertical mixing, keeping temperatures aligned with late-May climatological norms. NOAA model consensus showed minimal spread around these values, and final afternoon updates confirmed the outcome without revision. Only an unexpected station calibration error or localized microclimate anomaly exceeding documented observational uncertainty would alter the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$101,106Data di fine
22 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus has consolidated at near-certainty for a 68-69°F high in New York City on May 22 because official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum in that range. Following an early-week warm spell that briefly pushed readings into the low 70s, persistent high pressure, increased cloud cover, and light winds suppressed surface heating and vertical mixing, keeping temperatures aligned with late-May climatological norms. NOAA model consensus showed minimal spread around these values, and final afternoon updates confirmed the outcome without revision. Only an unexpected station calibration error or localized microclimate anomaly exceeding documented observational uncertainty would alter the recorded maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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