**Trader sentiment for San Francisco’s August 7 high temperature centers on the 70–73°F range (71.5% combined implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of a high near 72–74°F amid a warming trend.** Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific Ocean moderate coastal maxima, consistent with August climatology (average high ~69°F at KSFO). Recent model runs show gradual clearing after morning clouds but limited inland heat advection reaching the immediate coast, keeping peaks below 75°F. The lower 68–69°F bin (22.5%) retains support if stronger sea breezes or fog linger, while probabilities above 74°F remain minimal given the established marine moderation. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine resolution near the 70–73°F thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 7 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 7 agosto?
70-71°F 48%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 22%
74-75°F 4%
NUOVO
$17,881 Vol.
NUOVO
$17,881 Vol.
7 ago 2026
65°F o meno
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F o superiore
<1%
70-71°F 48%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 22%
74-75°F 4%
NUOVO
$17,881 Vol.
NUOVO
$17,881 Vol.
7 ago 2026
65°F o meno
$1,449 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$2,201 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$3,278 Vol.
22%
70-71°F
$3,012 Vol.
48%
72-73°F
$1,458 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$557 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$963 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$1,798 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$1,666 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$471 Vol.
<1%
84°F o superiore
$1,028 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for San Francisco’s August 7 high temperature centers on the 70–73°F range (71.5% combined implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of a high near 72–74°F amid a warming trend.** Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific Ocean moderate coastal maxima, consistent with August climatology (average high ~69°F at KSFO). Recent model runs show gradual clearing after morning clouds but limited inland heat advection reaching the immediate coast, keeping peaks below 75°F. The lower 68–69°F bin (22.5%) retains support if stronger sea breezes or fog linger, while probabilities above 74°F remain minimal given the established marine moderation. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine resolution near the 70–73°F thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$17,881Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for San Francisco’s August 7 high temperature centers on the 70–73°F range (71.5% combined implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of a high near 72–74°F amid a warming trend.** Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific Ocean moderate coastal maxima, consistent with August climatology (average high ~69°F at KSFO). Recent model runs show gradual clearing after morning clouds but limited inland heat advection reaching the immediate coast, keeping peaks below 75°F. The lower 68–69°F bin (22.5%) retains support if stronger sea breezes or fog linger, while probabilities above 74°F remain minimal given the established marine moderation. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine resolution near the 70–73°F thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,881Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for San Francisco’s August 7 high temperature centers on the 70–73°F range (71.5% combined implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of a high near 72–74°F amid a warming trend.** Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific Ocean moderate coastal maxima, consistent with August climatology (average high ~69°F at KSFO). Recent model runs show gradual clearing after morning clouds but limited inland heat advection reaching the immediate coast, keeping peaks below 75°F. The lower 68–69°F bin (22.5%) retains support if stronger sea breezes or fog linger, while probabilities above 74°F remain minimal given the established marine moderation. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine resolution near the 70–73°F thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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