The Central Weather Administration's latest guidance forecasts Taipei's highest temperature on April 18 at 23-25°C amid cloudy conditions with occasional showers from a weakening frontal system, capping daytime heating after recent highs near 30°C on April 16-17. Yet trader consensus favors 26°C (28% implied probability), edging out 25°C (24.5%) and 27°C (23.5%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover extent and shower timing—sparse morning precipitation could enable afternoon insolation to push urban heat island effects toward historical April norms of 25-26°C. Ensemble model spreads highlight sensitivity to southerly wind shifts or partial clearing, with CWA updates and new GFS/ECMWF runs expected April 17 to sharpen resolution criteria based on official Songshan station observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 18?
26°C 28%
25°C 25%
27°C 24%
24°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
19%
25°C
25%
26°C
28%
27°C
24%
28°C
13%
29°C or higher
3%
26°C 28%
25°C 25%
27°C 24%
24°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
19°C or below
$1,116 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$912 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$770 Vol.
1%
22°C
$306 Vol.
4%
23°C
$553 Vol.
9%
24°C
$57 Vol.
19%
25°C
$66 Vol.
25%
26°C
$60 Vol.
28%
27°C
$48 Vol.
24%
28°C
$61 Vol.
13%
29°C or higher
$65 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest guidance forecasts Taipei's highest temperature on April 18 at 23-25°C amid cloudy conditions with occasional showers from a weakening frontal system, capping daytime heating after recent highs near 30°C on April 16-17. Yet trader consensus favors 26°C (28% implied probability), edging out 25°C (24.5%) and 27°C (23.5%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover extent and shower timing—sparse morning precipitation could enable afternoon insolation to push urban heat island effects toward historical April norms of 25-26°C. Ensemble model spreads highlight sensitivity to southerly wind shifts or partial clearing, with CWA updates and new GFS/ECMWF runs expected April 17 to sharpen resolution criteria based on official Songshan station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$4,015Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest guidance forecasts Taipei's highest temperature on April 18 at 23-25°C amid cloudy conditions with occasional showers from a weakening frontal system, capping daytime heating after recent highs near 30°C on April 16-17. Yet trader consensus favors 26°C (28% implied probability), edging out 25°C (24.5%) and 27°C (23.5%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover extent and shower timing—sparse morning precipitation could enable afternoon insolation to push urban heat island effects toward historical April norms of 25-26°C. Ensemble model spreads highlight sensitivity to southerly wind shifts or partial clearing, with CWA updates and new GFS/ECMWF runs expected April 17 to sharpen resolution criteria based on official Songshan station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,015Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest guidance forecasts Taipei's highest temperature on April 18 at 23-25°C amid cloudy conditions with occasional showers from a weakening frontal system, capping daytime heating after recent highs near 30°C on April 16-17. Yet trader consensus favors 26°C (28% implied probability), edging out 25°C (24.5%) and 27°C (23.5%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover extent and shower timing—sparse morning precipitation could enable afternoon insolation to push urban heat island effects toward historical April norms of 25-26°C. Ensemble model spreads highlight sensitivity to southerly wind shifts or partial clearing, with CWA updates and new GFS/ECMWF runs expected April 17 to sharpen resolution criteria based on official Songshan station observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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