Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models converge on a maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions featuring abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and no anomalous heat advection from subtropical ridges. This consensus, aligned with long-term climatological averages near 31°C for the period, drives the market's strong preference for 33°C at 74% implied probability, with 34°C as the secondary outcome at 20.5%. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the peak across that narrow range, while the absence of recent model divergences or heatwave signals keeps probabilities for extremes below 1% and supports the observed trader weighting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 15 agosto?
33°C 74%
34°C 20%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
$19,751 Vol.
$19,751 Vol.
15 ago 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
74%
34°C
20%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 74%
34°C 20%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
$19,751 Vol.
$19,751 Vol.
15 ago 2026
30°C or below
$488 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,763 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,661 Vol.
5%
33°C
$6,091 Vol.
74%
34°C
$3,027 Vol.
20%
35°C
$1,493 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,163 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,167 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$945 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$666 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models converge on a maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions featuring abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and no anomalous heat advection from subtropical ridges. This consensus, aligned with long-term climatological averages near 31°C for the period, drives the market's strong preference for 33°C at 74% implied probability, with 34°C as the secondary outcome at 20.5%. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the peak across that narrow range, while the absence of recent model divergences or heatwave signals keeps probabilities for extremes below 1% and supports the observed trader weighting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$19,751Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models converge on a maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions featuring abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and no anomalous heat advection from subtropical ridges. This consensus, aligned with long-term climatological averages near 31°C for the period, drives the market's strong preference for 33°C at 74% implied probability, with 34°C as the secondary outcome at 20.5%. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the peak across that narrow range, while the absence of recent model divergences or heatwave signals keeps probabilities for extremes below 1% and supports the observed trader weighting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,751Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models converge on a maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions featuring abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and no anomalous heat advection from subtropical ridges. This consensus, aligned with long-term climatological averages near 31°C for the period, drives the market's strong preference for 33°C at 74% implied probability, with 34°C as the secondary outcome at 20.5%. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the peak across that narrow range, while the absence of recent model divergences or heatwave signals keeps probabilities for extremes below 1% and supports the observed trader weighting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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