Internal factional tensions within Iran's leadership, including hardliner accusations of a "soft coup" by President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi during Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's extended absence, shape trader assessments of coup risks. These claims, voiced by Paydari Front figures since mid-2026, center on alleged sidelining of revolutionary institutions and parliament amid war negotiations and the Supreme National Security Council's expanded role. Exiled opposition leader Reza Pahlavi's recent statements on growing quiet defections among military and civilian officials highlight regime erosion following the 2026 conflict and January protests. Preparations against domestic unrest, economic pressures, and scheduled diplomatic events like the UN General Assembly address add variables that could influence internal power shifts or stability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTentativo di colpo di stato in Iran da parte
Tentativo di colpo di stato in Iran da parte
$2,135,704 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
8%
$2,135,704 Vol.
31 dicembre
$94,478 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Internal factional tensions within Iran's leadership, including hardliner accusations of a "soft coup" by President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi during Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's extended absence, shape trader assessments of coup risks. These claims, voiced by Paydari Front figures since mid-2026, center on alleged sidelining of revolutionary institutions and parliament amid war negotiations and the Supreme National Security Council's expanded role. Exiled opposition leader Reza Pahlavi's recent statements on growing quiet defections among military and civilian officials highlight regime erosion following the 2026 conflict and January protests. Preparations against domestic unrest, economic pressures, and scheduled diplomatic events like the UN General Assembly address add variables that could influence internal power shifts or stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volume
$2,135,704Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Internal factional tensions within Iran's leadership, including hardliner accusations of a "soft coup" by President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi during Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's extended absence, shape trader assessments of coup risks. These claims, voiced by Paydari Front figures since mid-2026, center on alleged sidelining of revolutionary institutions and parliament amid war negotiations and the Supreme National Security Council's expanded role. Exiled opposition leader Reza Pahlavi's recent statements on growing quiet defections among military and civilian officials highlight regime erosion following the 2026 conflict and January protests. Preparations against domestic unrest, economic pressures, and scheduled diplomatic events like the UN General Assembly address add variables that could influence internal power shifts or stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,135,704Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Internal factional tensions within Iran's leadership, including hardliner accusations of a "soft coup" by President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi during Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's extended absence, shape trader assessments of coup risks. These claims, voiced by Paydari Front figures since mid-2026, center on alleged sidelining of revolutionary institutions and parliament amid war negotiations and the Supreme National Security Council's expanded role. Exiled opposition leader Reza Pahlavi's recent statements on growing quiet defections among military and civilian officials highlight regime erosion following the 2026 conflict and January protests. Preparations against domestic unrest, economic pressures, and scheduled diplomatic events like the UN General Assembly address add variables that could influence internal power shifts or stability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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