Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on September 10 will likely fall in the 13–15°C range under clear skies and light northeasterly winds that allow moderate radiative cooling overnight without strong advection. This positioning near the 10°C and 20°C thresholds explains the near-even market split, as small variations in boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, or urban heat island effects could shift the exact low by a few degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima around 11–14°C, but the ongoing warm spell has elevated baseline temperatures. Traders will watch the next ECMWF and GFS runs for any adjustments to nocturnal cooling rates before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 10 settembre?
20°C o superiore 88%
10°C o inferiore 45%
17°C 39%
18°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
45%
11°C
23%
12°C
24%
13°C
37%
14°C
37%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
37%
20°C o superiore
88%
20°C o superiore 88%
10°C o inferiore 45%
17°C 39%
18°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
45%
11°C
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$0 Vol.
24%
13°C
$17 Vol.
37%
14°C
$0 Vol.
37%
15°C
$10 Vol.
19%
16°C
$65 Vol.
20%
17°C
$50 Vol.
39%
18°C
$25 Vol.
39%
19°C
$30 Vol.
37%
20°C o superiore
$30 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on September 10 will likely fall in the 13–15°C range under clear skies and light northeasterly winds that allow moderate radiative cooling overnight without strong advection. This positioning near the 10°C and 20°C thresholds explains the near-even market split, as small variations in boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, or urban heat island effects could shift the exact low by a few degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima around 11–14°C, but the ongoing warm spell has elevated baseline temperatures. Traders will watch the next ECMWF and GFS runs for any adjustments to nocturnal cooling rates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$228Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on September 10 will likely fall in the 13–15°C range under clear skies and light northeasterly winds that allow moderate radiative cooling overnight without strong advection. This positioning near the 10°C and 20°C thresholds explains the near-even market split, as small variations in boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, or urban heat island effects could shift the exact low by a few degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima around 11–14°C, but the ongoing warm spell has elevated baseline temperatures. Traders will watch the next ECMWF and GFS runs for any adjustments to nocturnal cooling rates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$228Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on September 10 will likely fall in the 13–15°C range under clear skies and light northeasterly winds that allow moderate radiative cooling overnight without strong advection. This positioning near the 10°C and 20°C thresholds explains the near-even market split, as small variations in boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, or urban heat island effects could shift the exact low by a few degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima around 11–14°C, but the ongoing warm spell has elevated baseline temperatures. Traders will watch the next ECMWF and GFS runs for any adjustments to nocturnal cooling rates before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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