Recent forecasts from sources including Yr, Ventusky, and local Chinese meteorological outlooks place Chongqing's September 6 minimum near 25–27 °C under continued high pressure, light southeast winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling. This positions 25 °C and adjacent bins as competitive outcomes, while the elevated 50 % market weight on 21 °C or below appears driven by traders pricing in model spread and the approaching mid-week frontal passage that will sharply lower temperatures later in the week. Early-September climatology shows typical overnight lows around 24 °C, with clear conditions favoring modest further drops but rarely reaching the sub-22 °C range before the seasonal transition accelerates. Updated model runs and official Chongqing Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the 6th will be the next key data points likely to shift these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 6 settembre?
21°C o inferiore 100%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
100%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C o superiore
46%
21°C o inferiore 100%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
100%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Yr, Ventusky, and local Chinese meteorological outlooks place Chongqing's September 6 minimum near 25–27 °C under continued high pressure, light southeast winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling. This positions 25 °C and adjacent bins as competitive outcomes, while the elevated 50 % market weight on 21 °C or below appears driven by traders pricing in model spread and the approaching mid-week frontal passage that will sharply lower temperatures later in the week. Early-September climatology shows typical overnight lows around 24 °C, with clear conditions favoring modest further drops but rarely reaching the sub-22 °C range before the seasonal transition accelerates. Updated model runs and official Chongqing Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the 6th will be the next key data points likely to shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Yr, Ventusky, and local Chinese meteorological outlooks place Chongqing's September 6 minimum near 25–27 °C under continued high pressure, light southeast winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling. This positions 25 °C and adjacent bins as competitive outcomes, while the elevated 50 % market weight on 21 °C or below appears driven by traders pricing in model spread and the approaching mid-week frontal passage that will sharply lower temperatures later in the week. Early-September climatology shows typical overnight lows around 24 °C, with clear conditions favoring modest further drops but rarely reaching the sub-22 °C range before the seasonal transition accelerates. Updated model runs and official Chongqing Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the 6th will be the next key data points likely to shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including Yr, Ventusky, and local Chinese meteorological outlooks place Chongqing's September 6 minimum near 25–27 °C under continued high pressure, light southeast winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling. This positions 25 °C and adjacent bins as competitive outcomes, while the elevated 50 % market weight on 21 °C or below appears driven by traders pricing in model spread and the approaching mid-week frontal passage that will sharply lower temperatures later in the week. Early-September climatology shows typical overnight lows around 24 °C, with clear conditions favoring modest further drops but rarely reaching the sub-22 °C range before the seasonal transition accelerates. Updated model runs and official Chongqing Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the 6th will be the next key data points likely to shift these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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