Current forecast models from sources like NOAA analogs and regional ensembles converge on overnight lows of 24–26°C in Chongqing on September 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds limiting mixing, and moderate humidity reducing radiative cooling. Trader odds cluster tightly around 23–24°C because slight variations in cloud cover or urban heat retention could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while the low probability for 19°C or below reflects the absence of any cold-air intrusion this early in September. Upcoming model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 4 settembre?
19°C o inferiore 93%
25°C 93%
26°C 93%
27°C 93%
19°C o inferiore
93%
20°C
88%
21°C
88%
22°C
88%
23°C
50%
24°C
51%
25°C
93%
26°C
93%
27°C
93%
28°C
93%
29°C o superiore
2%
19°C o inferiore 93%
25°C 93%
26°C 93%
27°C 93%
19°C o inferiore
93%
20°C
88%
21°C
88%
22°C
88%
23°C
50%
24°C
51%
25°C
93%
26°C
93%
27°C
93%
28°C
93%
29°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like NOAA analogs and regional ensembles converge on overnight lows of 24–26°C in Chongqing on September 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds limiting mixing, and moderate humidity reducing radiative cooling. Trader odds cluster tightly around 23–24°C because slight variations in cloud cover or urban heat retention could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while the low probability for 19°C or below reflects the absence of any cold-air intrusion this early in September. Upcoming model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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