**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30 project a minimum of 27°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms.** High humidity levels (75–95%) and extensive cloud cover are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight temperatures from falling much below the forecasted range of 27–31°C, while light southwest winds offer minimal mixing. The tight market split between 27°C (45.5%) and 28°C (41.5%) reflects uncertainty in exactly how much cooling occurs amid variable rainfall intensity and timing, as heavier showers could suppress temperatures slightly further or maintain warmth through latent heat release. Historical late-August norms around 26–28°C provide context, but current model consensus and real-time monitoring updates will be decisive for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 30 agosto?
27°C 45%
28°C 40%
26°C 16%
25°C 4%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
45%
28°C
40%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 40%
26°C 16%
25°C 4%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
45%
28°C
40%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30 project a minimum of 27°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms.** High humidity levels (75–95%) and extensive cloud cover are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight temperatures from falling much below the forecasted range of 27–31°C, while light southwest winds offer minimal mixing. The tight market split between 27°C (45.5%) and 28°C (41.5%) reflects uncertainty in exactly how much cooling occurs amid variable rainfall intensity and timing, as heavier showers could suppress temperatures slightly further or maintain warmth through latent heat release. Historical late-August norms around 26–28°C provide context, but current model consensus and real-time monitoring updates will be decisive for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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