**Incoming cooler air and light rain expected on September 22 are the main factors balancing trader odds near 50% for Istanbul's daily minimum temperature at or below 10°C versus 20°C or higher.** Global models including GFS and ECMWF runs project a shift from recent daytime highs near 26°C to 20–22°C on Tuesday, with overnight lows forecast between 14–18°C amid increased cloud cover and scattered showers. This transitional pattern, driven by northerly flow and modest moisture, aligns with typical late-September climatology where minimums average around 17°C but can vary several degrees based on exact timing of frontal passage and wind strength. Official updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and fresh ensemble runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise overnight minimum, directly influencing resolution of the tightly contested bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 22 settembre?
10°C o inferiore 100%
20°C o superiore 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
10°C o inferiore
100%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C o superiore
98%
10°C o inferiore 100%
20°C o superiore 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
10°C o inferiore
100%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C o superiore
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Incoming cooler air and light rain expected on September 22 are the main factors balancing trader odds near 50% for Istanbul's daily minimum temperature at or below 10°C versus 20°C or higher.** Global models including GFS and ECMWF runs project a shift from recent daytime highs near 26°C to 20–22°C on Tuesday, with overnight lows forecast between 14–18°C amid increased cloud cover and scattered showers. This transitional pattern, driven by northerly flow and modest moisture, aligns with typical late-September climatology where minimums average around 17°C but can vary several degrees based on exact timing of frontal passage and wind strength. Official updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and fresh ensemble runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise overnight minimum, directly influencing resolution of the tightly contested bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti