Recent forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to overnight radiative cooling limited by high Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 31°C and light variable winds, keeping the September 17 minimum in Jeddah around 30–31°C. Persistent warm advection and elevated dew points near 25–27°C further suppress the diurnal range, consistent with recent station observations showing minima of 29–31°C. Trader positioning around these levels reflects the narrow spread across ensemble members, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the Jeddah meteorological station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Gedda il 17 settembre?
31°C 50%
30°C 46%
34°C o superiore 44%
24°C o inferiore 39%
24°C o inferiore
39%
25°C
13%
26°C
7%
27°C
16%
28°C
14%
29°C
21%
30°C
37%
31°C
41%
32°C
23%
33°C
17%
34°C o superiore
44%
31°C 50%
30°C 46%
34°C o superiore 44%
24°C o inferiore 39%
24°C o inferiore
39%
25°C
13%
26°C
7%
27°C
16%
28°C
14%
29°C
21%
30°C
37%
31°C
41%
32°C
23%
33°C
17%
34°C o superiore
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to overnight radiative cooling limited by high Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 31°C and light variable winds, keeping the September 17 minimum in Jeddah around 30–31°C. Persistent warm advection and elevated dew points near 25–27°C further suppress the diurnal range, consistent with recent station observations showing minima of 29–31°C. Trader positioning around these levels reflects the narrow spread across ensemble members, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the Jeddah meteorological station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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