Recent forecasts from regional models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate typical late-monsoon conditions for Karachi, with overnight lows centered near 26–28°C amid elevated humidity and variable cloud cover. Trader sentiment, reflected in the spread favoring 28°C, centers on limited radiative cooling from persistent moisture and light winds, offset by potential isolated showers or clearer intervals that could allow brief drops toward 25–27°C. Key variables include monsoon trough positioning influencing convective activity, sea-surface temperatures sustaining warmth, and short-term model divergence on precipitation timing—factors that historically produce 1–2°C daily fluctuations in minimums during August. Upcoming PMD updates and satellite observations through August 22 will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 23 agosto?
28°C 29%
27°C 19%
29°C 18%
24°C 15%
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
15%
25°C
12%
26°C
13%
27°C
19%
28°C
29%
29°C
18%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
1%
28°C 29%
27°C 19%
29°C 18%
24°C 15%
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
15%
25°C
12%
26°C
13%
27°C
19%
28°C
29%
29°C
18%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate typical late-monsoon conditions for Karachi, with overnight lows centered near 26–28°C amid elevated humidity and variable cloud cover. Trader sentiment, reflected in the spread favoring 28°C, centers on limited radiative cooling from persistent moisture and light winds, offset by potential isolated showers or clearer intervals that could allow brief drops toward 25–27°C. Key variables include monsoon trough positioning influencing convective activity, sea-surface temperatures sustaining warmth, and short-term model divergence on precipitation timing—factors that historically produce 1–2°C daily fluctuations in minimums during August. Upcoming PMD updates and satellite observations through August 22 will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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