Current forecasts from multiple models project a minimum temperature in Karachi on September 4 near 26–27°C, consistent with early-September climatology where coastal marine influence from the Arabian Sea moderates overnight cooling under prevailing westerly to southwesterly flow and high humidity. This seasonal baseline, with typical diurnal ranges of 4–6°C amid patchy cloud and light winds, supports the market’s closely matched probabilities around mid-20s outcomes while explaining the elevated shares for 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher as hedges against possible model spread in nocturnal radiative cooling or unexpected moisture influx. No major synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 4 settembre?
21°C o inferiore 69%
31°C o superiore 69%
27°C 50%
23°C 49%
21°C o inferiore
69%
22°C
23%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
50%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
25%
31°C o superiore
69%
21°C o inferiore 69%
31°C o superiore 69%
27°C 50%
23°C 49%
21°C o inferiore
69%
22°C
23%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
50%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
25%
31°C o superiore
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models project a minimum temperature in Karachi on September 4 near 26–27°C, consistent with early-September climatology where coastal marine influence from the Arabian Sea moderates overnight cooling under prevailing westerly to southwesterly flow and high humidity. This seasonal baseline, with typical diurnal ranges of 4–6°C amid patchy cloud and light winds, supports the market’s closely matched probabilities around mid-20s outcomes while explaining the elevated shares for 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher as hedges against possible model spread in nocturnal radiative cooling or unexpected moisture influx. No major synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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