Recent Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate that clear to partly cloudy skies combined with light southwesterly winds will allow London’s overnight minimum to settle at 17°C, consistent with the 100% market-implied outcome. Surface observations through the evening show temperatures already tracking this level under stable high pressure, with dew points and radiative cooling rates aligning with climatological expectations for mid-June. The consensus reflects verified station data rather than projections. A late surge in cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies and lighter winds than modeled might allow a brief dip below 17°C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 17 giugno?
17°C 100.0%
12°C o inferiore <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$14,694 Vol.
$14,694 Vol.
12°C o inferiore
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Sì
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C o superiore
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C o inferiore <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$14,694 Vol.
$14,694 Vol.
12°C o inferiore
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Sì
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate that clear to partly cloudy skies combined with light southwesterly winds will allow London’s overnight minimum to settle at 17°C, consistent with the 100% market-implied outcome. Surface observations through the evening show temperatures already tracking this level under stable high pressure, with dew points and radiative cooling rates aligning with climatological expectations for mid-June. The consensus reflects verified station data rather than projections. A late surge in cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies and lighter winds than modeled might allow a brief dip below 17°C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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