National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport show an overnight low near 68°F on August 21, supported by a persistent shallow marine layer and moderate onshore flow that limits radiational cooling. This marine influence, typical for coastal Southern California in late summer, keeps temperatures near or slightly above the 66°F August climatological average at KLAX and explains why traders have assigned a 73% implied probability to the 68-69°F range. Model consensus remains stable with no significant revisions in recent runs, while historical analogs indicate lows in this range occur frequently under similar synoptic patterns. Upcoming evening observations and any late-day marine layer strengthening could provide final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 21 agosto?
68-69°F 85%
66-67°F 42%
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 9%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
42%
68-69°F
85%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 85%
66-67°F 42%
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 9%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
42%
68-69°F
85%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport show an overnight low near 68°F on August 21, supported by a persistent shallow marine layer and moderate onshore flow that limits radiational cooling. This marine influence, typical for coastal Southern California in late summer, keeps temperatures near or slightly above the 66°F August climatological average at KLAX and explains why traders have assigned a 73% implied probability to the 68-69°F range. Model consensus remains stable with no significant revisions in recent runs, while historical analogs indicate lows in this range occur frequently under similar synoptic patterns. Upcoming evening observations and any late-day marine layer strengthening could provide final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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