Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate typical September conditions for Manila, with overnight lows likely near 24–26°C amid a monsoon break favoring easterly flow and localized thunderstorms. Cloud cover and precipitation are the key variables differentiating outcomes: extensive overnight cloudiness and humidity trap longwave radiation, limiting radiative cooling and supporting warmer minimums near or above 25°C, while clearer intervals could allow greater surface heat loss and cooler readings. High atmospheric moisture and light winds reduce the diurnal temperature range overall. With resolution two days away, updated model runs and PAGASA briefings on any low-pressure influences will drive the tight market-implied odds between cooler and warmer extremes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Manila il 17 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Manila il 17 settembre?
30°C o superiore 90%
20°C o inferiore 87%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
87%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
30%
24°C
24%
25°C
31%
26°C
22%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C o superiore
90%
30°C o superiore 90%
20°C o inferiore 87%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
87%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$44 Vol.
30%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
31%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate typical September conditions for Manila, with overnight lows likely near 24–26°C amid a monsoon break favoring easterly flow and localized thunderstorms. Cloud cover and precipitation are the key variables differentiating outcomes: extensive overnight cloudiness and humidity trap longwave radiation, limiting radiative cooling and supporting warmer minimums near or above 25°C, while clearer intervals could allow greater surface heat loss and cooler readings. High atmospheric moisture and light winds reduce the diurnal temperature range overall. With resolution two days away, updated model runs and PAGASA briefings on any low-pressure influences will drive the tight market-implied odds between cooler and warmer extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$44Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate typical September conditions for Manila, with overnight lows likely near 24–26°C amid a monsoon break favoring easterly flow and localized thunderstorms. Cloud cover and precipitation are the key variables differentiating outcomes: extensive overnight cloudiness and humidity trap longwave radiation, limiting radiative cooling and supporting warmer minimums near or above 25°C, while clearer intervals could allow greater surface heat loss and cooler readings. High atmospheric moisture and light winds reduce the diurnal temperature range overall. With resolution two days away, updated model runs and PAGASA briefings on any low-pressure influences will drive the tight market-implied odds between cooler and warmer extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate typical September conditions for Manila, with overnight lows likely near 24–26°C amid a monsoon break favoring easterly flow and localized thunderstorms. Cloud cover and precipitation are the key variables differentiating outcomes: extensive overnight cloudiness and humidity trap longwave radiation, limiting radiative cooling and supporting warmer minimums near or above 25°C, while clearer intervals could allow greater surface heat loss and cooler readings. High atmospheric moisture and light winds reduce the diurnal temperature range overall. With resolution two days away, updated model runs and PAGASA briefings on any low-pressure influences will drive the tight market-implied odds between cooler and warmer extremes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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