Current National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus indicate overnight lows in Miami on September 18 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, driven by elevated dew points from persistent tropical moisture, limited nocturnal radiational cooling under scattered thunderstorm clouds, and light easterly flow off the Atlantic. These conditions align with trader consensus favoring the 76-77°F bin as the leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed by adjacent 78-79°F and 74-75°F ranges. Late-summer climatology supports this narrow band, as typical September minimums hover near 76°F absent unusual frontal passages. Updated NWS model runs and observational data releases over the next 24 hours will provide the next key inputs for any shifts in market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Miami il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Miami il 18 settembre?
76-77°F 41%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 25%
80-81°F 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
69°F o inferiore
4%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
1%
88°F o superiore
1%
76-77°F 41%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 25%
80-81°F 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
69°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$6 Vol.
29%
76-77°F
$297 Vol.
41%
78-79°F
$746 Vol.
25%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
18%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
11%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$11 Vol.
1%
88°F o superiore
$300 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus indicate overnight lows in Miami on September 18 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, driven by elevated dew points from persistent tropical moisture, limited nocturnal radiational cooling under scattered thunderstorm clouds, and light easterly flow off the Atlantic. These conditions align with trader consensus favoring the 76-77°F bin as the leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed by adjacent 78-79°F and 74-75°F ranges. Late-summer climatology supports this narrow band, as typical September minimums hover near 76°F absent unusual frontal passages. Updated NWS model runs and observational data releases over the next 24 hours will provide the next key inputs for any shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,360Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus indicate overnight lows in Miami on September 18 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, driven by elevated dew points from persistent tropical moisture, limited nocturnal radiational cooling under scattered thunderstorm clouds, and light easterly flow off the Atlantic. These conditions align with trader consensus favoring the 76-77°F bin as the leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed by adjacent 78-79°F and 74-75°F ranges. Late-summer climatology supports this narrow band, as typical September minimums hover near 76°F absent unusual frontal passages. Updated NWS model runs and observational data releases over the next 24 hours will provide the next key inputs for any shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,360Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus indicate overnight lows in Miami on September 18 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, driven by elevated dew points from persistent tropical moisture, limited nocturnal radiational cooling under scattered thunderstorm clouds, and light easterly flow off the Atlantic. These conditions align with trader consensus favoring the 76-77°F bin as the leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed by adjacent 78-79°F and 74-75°F ranges. Late-summer climatology supports this narrow band, as typical September minimums hover near 76°F absent unusual frontal passages. Updated NWS model runs and observational data releases over the next 24 hours will provide the next key inputs for any shifts in market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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