Recent forecast model runs show notable spread for Moscow's September 22 minimum, with guidance ranging from roughly 10–14°C under increasing cloud cover and light rain to potential values near or below 8°C if clearer skies allow stronger nocturnal radiative cooling. A passing frontal boundary and southwesterly flow are limiting daytime heating while raising overnight humidity and reducing temperature drops, yet ensemble divergence on exact timing and cloud thickness sustains near-even trader odds between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes. Updated runs from major centers will refine advection and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 22 settembre?
7°C o inferiore 100%
17°C o superiore 98%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
7°C o inferiore
100%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C o superiore
98%
7°C o inferiore 100%
17°C o superiore 98%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
7°C o inferiore
100%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C o superiore
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs show notable spread for Moscow's September 22 minimum, with guidance ranging from roughly 10–14°C under increasing cloud cover and light rain to potential values near or below 8°C if clearer skies allow stronger nocturnal radiative cooling. A passing frontal boundary and southwesterly flow are limiting daytime heating while raising overnight humidity and reducing temperature drops, yet ensemble divergence on exact timing and cloud thickness sustains near-even trader odds between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes. Updated runs from major centers will refine advection and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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