Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in São Paulo around 12–13 °C for August 23, driven primarily by clear skies promoting strong radiative cooling after a mild daytime high near 22 °C. Light winds and dry conditions typical of the winter dry season limit turbulent mixing, allowing surface temperatures to drop further in rural or elevated measurement sites, while the urban heat island effect may moderate readings slightly at central stations. Ensemble spreads remain notable due to minor uncertainties in advection of cooler polar air masses versus warmer subtropical flows, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 12 °C and 13 °C. Historical August climatology shows average minima near 11–13 °C, providing context for why traders weigh these outcomes most heavily ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a San Paolo il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a San Paolo il 23 agosto?
18°C or higher 66%
12°C 56%
8°C or below 55%
13°C 31%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
8°C or below
55%
9°C
16%
10°C
10%
11°C
26%
12°C
36%
13°C
31%
14°C
28%
15°C
25%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C or higher
66%
18°C or higher 66%
12°C 56%
8°C or below 55%
13°C 31%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
8°C or below
$15 Vol.
55%
9°C
$0 Vol.
16%
10°C
$0 Vol.
10%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$16 Vol.
36%
13°C
$0 Vol.
31%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
3%
17°C
$5 Vol.
6%
18°C or higher
$40 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in São Paulo around 12–13 °C for August 23, driven primarily by clear skies promoting strong radiative cooling after a mild daytime high near 22 °C. Light winds and dry conditions typical of the winter dry season limit turbulent mixing, allowing surface temperatures to drop further in rural or elevated measurement sites, while the urban heat island effect may moderate readings slightly at central stations. Ensemble spreads remain notable due to minor uncertainties in advection of cooler polar air masses versus warmer subtropical flows, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 12 °C and 13 °C. Historical August climatology shows average minima near 11–13 °C, providing context for why traders weigh these outcomes most heavily ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$77Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in São Paulo around 12–13 °C for August 23, driven primarily by clear skies promoting strong radiative cooling after a mild daytime high near 22 °C. Light winds and dry conditions typical of the winter dry season limit turbulent mixing, allowing surface temperatures to drop further in rural or elevated measurement sites, while the urban heat island effect may moderate readings slightly at central stations. Ensemble spreads remain notable due to minor uncertainties in advection of cooler polar air masses versus warmer subtropical flows, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 12 °C and 13 °C. Historical August climatology shows average minima near 11–13 °C, providing context for why traders weigh these outcomes most heavily ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in São Paulo around 12–13 °C for August 23, driven primarily by clear skies promoting strong radiative cooling after a mild daytime high near 22 °C. Light winds and dry conditions typical of the winter dry season limit turbulent mixing, allowing surface temperatures to drop further in rural or elevated measurement sites, while the urban heat island effect may moderate readings slightly at central stations. Ensemble spreads remain notable due to minor uncertainties in advection of cooler polar air masses versus warmer subtropical flows, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 12 °C and 13 °C. Historical August climatology shows average minima near 11–13 °C, providing context for why traders weigh these outcomes most heavily ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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