**Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are keeping overnight temperatures elevated in Shenzhen on August 29.** Official forecasts and real-time observations indicate the daily minimum will likely settle near 27–28°C, consistent with August climatology (typical lows 25–27°C) amid high humidity (80–90%) and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling. Multiple model runs show minimal overnight drop from daytime highs around 32–33°C, with rain and overcast skies suppressing further declines. Market-implied odds heavily favor 28°C as the lowest reading, reflecting this stable pattern and limited scope for an unusually cool night. Updated local meteorological guidance through the evening will determine if any brief clearing allows a dip toward 27°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 29 agosto?
28°C 100.0%
27°C 3.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$6,966 Vol.
$6,966 Vol.
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
27°C 3.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$6,966 Vol.
$6,966 Vol.
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5,609 Vol.
No
23°C
$127 Vol.
No
24°C
$169 Vol.
No
25°C
$144 Vol.
No
26°C
$94 Vol.
No
27°C
$167 Vol.
No
28°C
$147 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$192 Vol.
No
30°C
$112 Vol.
No
31°C
$68 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$138 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are keeping overnight temperatures elevated in Shenzhen on August 29.** Official forecasts and real-time observations indicate the daily minimum will likely settle near 27–28°C, consistent with August climatology (typical lows 25–27°C) amid high humidity (80–90%) and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling. Multiple model runs show minimal overnight drop from daytime highs around 32–33°C, with rain and overcast skies suppressing further declines. Market-implied odds heavily favor 28°C as the lowest reading, reflecting this stable pattern and limited scope for an unusually cool night. Updated local meteorological guidance through the evening will determine if any brief clearing allows a dip toward 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,966Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are keeping overnight temperatures elevated in Shenzhen on August 29.** Official forecasts and real-time observations indicate the daily minimum will likely settle near 27–28°C, consistent with August climatology (typical lows 25–27°C) amid high humidity (80–90%) and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling. Multiple model runs show minimal overnight drop from daytime highs around 32–33°C, with rain and overcast skies suppressing further declines. Market-implied odds heavily favor 28°C as the lowest reading, reflecting this stable pattern and limited scope for an unusually cool night. Updated local meteorological guidance through the evening will determine if any brief clearing allows a dip toward 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,966Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are keeping overnight temperatures elevated in Shenzhen on August 29.** Official forecasts and real-time observations indicate the daily minimum will likely settle near 27–28°C, consistent with August climatology (typical lows 25–27°C) amid high humidity (80–90%) and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling. Multiple model runs show minimal overnight drop from daytime highs around 32–33°C, with rain and overcast skies suppressing further declines. Market-implied odds heavily favor 28°C as the lowest reading, reflecting this stable pattern and limited scope for an unusually cool night. Updated local meteorological guidance through the evening will determine if any brief clearing allows a dip toward 27°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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