**Recent official MetService forecasts and hourly observations for Wellington indicate the minimum temperature on 21 August will reach 8 °C overnight or early morning under northerly flow and partly cloudy skies.** Model consensus from NIWA and international guidance supports this value as the most probable daily low, consistent with seasonal August averages near 9 °C and the absence of strong southerly outbreaks or clear-sky radiative cooling that would drive deeper drops. Trader positioning at 95 % implied probability on 8 °C reflects this tight forecast spread and the market’s resolution against verified daily observations. A late cold-air advection or unexpected clear period could still push readings to 7 °C or lower before dawn, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before final readings are confirmed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 21 agosto?
8°C 97%
7°C 3%
6°C 3%
4°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
97%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
8°C 97%
7°C 3%
6°C 3%
4°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
2°C or below
$221 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$194 Vol.
1%
5°C
$144 Vol.
1%
6°C
$91 Vol.
3%
7°C
$108 Vol.
3%
8°C
$211 Vol.
97%
9°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
12°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official MetService forecasts and hourly observations for Wellington indicate the minimum temperature on 21 August will reach 8 °C overnight or early morning under northerly flow and partly cloudy skies.** Model consensus from NIWA and international guidance supports this value as the most probable daily low, consistent with seasonal August averages near 9 °C and the absence of strong southerly outbreaks or clear-sky radiative cooling that would drive deeper drops. Trader positioning at 95 % implied probability on 8 °C reflects this tight forecast spread and the market’s resolution against verified daily observations. A late cold-air advection or unexpected clear period could still push readings to 7 °C or lower before dawn, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before final readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,592Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official MetService forecasts and hourly observations for Wellington indicate the minimum temperature on 21 August will reach 8 °C overnight or early morning under northerly flow and partly cloudy skies.** Model consensus from NIWA and international guidance supports this value as the most probable daily low, consistent with seasonal August averages near 9 °C and the absence of strong southerly outbreaks or clear-sky radiative cooling that would drive deeper drops. Trader positioning at 95 % implied probability on 8 °C reflects this tight forecast spread and the market’s resolution against verified daily observations. A late cold-air advection or unexpected clear period could still push readings to 7 °C or lower before dawn, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before final readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,592Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official MetService forecasts and hourly observations for Wellington indicate the minimum temperature on 21 August will reach 8 °C overnight or early morning under northerly flow and partly cloudy skies.** Model consensus from NIWA and international guidance supports this value as the most probable daily low, consistent with seasonal August averages near 9 °C and the absence of strong southerly outbreaks or clear-sky radiative cooling that would drive deeper drops. Trader positioning at 95 % implied probability on 8 °C reflects this tight forecast spread and the market’s resolution against verified daily observations. A late cold-air advection or unexpected clear period could still push readings to 7 °C or lower before dawn, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before final readings are confirmed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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