Traders view Morena as the clear frontrunner for the Mexico legislative election winner, reflecting its organizational strength and consistent leads in national polling after the 2024 general election results. The ruling party's coalition ties with PVEM and PT bolster its position by expanding seat projections in the Chamber of Deputies, while opposition parties PAN, PRI, and MC face persistent fragmentation that limits their ability to challenge for plurality. Recent legislative sessions advancing Morena-backed measures on social spending and energy policy have sustained voter alignment ahead of the vote, widening the gap in implied probabilities across the field.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMorena 74%
PT 22%
PVEM 21%
PAN 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 giu 2027
PAN
16%
PRI
13%
PT
22%
PVEM
21%
MC
15%
Morena
74%
Morena 74%
PT 22%
PVEM 21%
PAN 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 giu 2027
PAN
$29 Vol.
16%
PRI
$29 Vol.
13%
PT
$29 Vol.
22%
PVEM
$29 Vol.
21%
MC
$29 Vol.
15%
Morena
$40 Vol.
74%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Traders view Morena as the clear frontrunner for the Mexico legislative election winner, reflecting its organizational strength and consistent leads in national polling after the 2024 general election results. The ruling party's coalition ties with PVEM and PT bolster its position by expanding seat projections in the Chamber of Deputies, while opposition parties PAN, PRI, and MC face persistent fragmentation that limits their ability to challenge for plurality. Recent legislative sessions advancing Morena-backed measures on social spending and energy policy have sustained voter alignment ahead of the vote, widening the gap in implied probabilities across the field.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$187Data di fine
6 giu 2027Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Traders view Morena as the clear frontrunner for the Mexico legislative election winner, reflecting its organizational strength and consistent leads in national polling after the 2024 general election results. The ruling party's coalition ties with PVEM and PT bolster its position by expanding seat projections in the Chamber of Deputies, while opposition parties PAN, PRI, and MC face persistent fragmentation that limits their ability to challenge for plurality. Recent legislative sessions advancing Morena-backed measures on social spending and energy policy have sustained voter alignment ahead of the vote, widening the gap in implied probabilities across the field.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$187Data di fine
6 giu 2027Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view Morena as the clear frontrunner for the Mexico legislative election winner, reflecting its organizational strength and consistent leads in national polling after the 2024 general election results. The ruling party's coalition ties with PVEM and PT bolster its position by expanding seat projections in the Chamber of Deputies, while opposition parties PAN, PRI, and MC face persistent fragmentation that limits their ability to challenge for plurality. Recent legislative sessions advancing Morena-backed measures on social spending and energy policy have sustained voter alignment ahead of the vote, widening the gap in implied probabilities across the field.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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