Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% voter turnout in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting historical patterns like the 74% participation in 2021 amid political instability, tempered by recent widespread logistical chaos. Ballot shortages, polling station delays—especially in voter-heavy Lima—and voting extensions to a second day frustrated turnout despite mandatory voting with fines for abstention. Exit polls from Ipsos reported high participation, but the decade-long crisis with eight presidents and a fragmented 35-candidate field fueled apathy, positioning lower bins as unlikely while higher ones face barriers from disruptions. Official ONPE figures, expected soon amid ongoing count delays and fraud claims, will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato70-75% 85.2%
75-80% 8%
80-85% 6.2%
< 70% 1.5%
$123,502 Vol.
$123,502 Vol.
12 apr 2026
< 70%
2%
70-75%
85%
75-80%
8%
80-85%
6%
> 85%
1%
70-75% 85.2%
75-80% 8%
80-85% 6.2%
< 70% 1.5%
$123,502 Vol.
$123,502 Vol.
12 apr 2026
< 70%
$18,684 Vol.
2%
70-75%
$35,045 Vol.
85%
75-80%
$19,019 Vol.
8%
80-85%
$42,724 Vol.
6%
> 85%
$8,030 Vol.
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% voter turnout in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting historical patterns like the 74% participation in 2021 amid political instability, tempered by recent widespread logistical chaos. Ballot shortages, polling station delays—especially in voter-heavy Lima—and voting extensions to a second day frustrated turnout despite mandatory voting with fines for abstention. Exit polls from Ipsos reported high participation, but the decade-long crisis with eight presidents and a fragmented 35-candidate field fueled apathy, positioning lower bins as unlikely while higher ones face barriers from disruptions. Official ONPE figures, expected soon amid ongoing count delays and fraud claims, will resolve the market.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercato aperto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Volume
$123,502Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% voter turnout in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting historical patterns like the 74% participation in 2021 amid political instability, tempered by recent widespread logistical chaos. Ballot shortages, polling station delays—especially in voter-heavy Lima—and voting extensions to a second day frustrated turnout despite mandatory voting with fines for abstention. Exit polls from Ipsos reported high participation, but the decade-long crisis with eight presidents and a fragmented 35-candidate field fueled apathy, positioning lower bins as unlikely while higher ones face barriers from disruptions. Official ONPE figures, expected soon amid ongoing count delays and fraud claims, will resolve the market.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$123,502Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% voter turnout in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting historical patterns like the 74% participation in 2021 amid political instability, tempered by recent widespread logistical chaos. Ballot shortages, polling station delays—especially in voter-heavy Lima—and voting extensions to a second day frustrated turnout despite mandatory voting with fines for abstention. Exit polls from Ipsos reported high participation, but the decade-long crisis with eight presidents and a fragmented 35-candidate field fueled apathy, positioning lower bins as unlikely while higher ones face barriers from disruptions. Official ONPE figures, expected soon amid ongoing count delays and fraud claims, will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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