**Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor in late June 2026 after a nearly four-month absence tied to hospitalization for depression, resuming votes and public duties without further interruption.** He won his June primary unopposed, issued statements affirming his commitment to seeking a third term, and has maintained an active schedule that includes fundraising and campaign events. No official announcements, party statements, or credible reports have indicated plans to resign, retire, or otherwise vacate the seat before the end of his current term. The 87% trader consensus on “No” reflects this continuity, the absence of any procedural triggers such as health-related vacancies or leadership pressure, and the focus on his November matchup against Democrat Rebecca Bennett in the competitive New Jersey 7th district. Absent new developments like a sudden withdrawal or medical update, the market pricing aligns with the observed pattern of incumbents completing terms once they resume normal operations.