Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a strong position in Texas’s 23rd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s recent Republican voting patterns and the party’s primary outcome. Incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew in March after a scandal, allowing Herrera to secure the nomination without a runoff. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary but faces structural challenges in a district that favored the Republican presidential candidate by double digits in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, though national Democratic groups have targeted it amid the seat’s vacancy since April and local issues such as a recent screwworm outbreak. Limited public polling shows a narrow contest, leaving room for late shifts driven by turnout or candidate visibility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-23 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
TX-23 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$39,330 Vol.
$39,330 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
71%
Partito Democratico
30%
$39,330 Vol.
$39,330 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$23,045 Vol.
71%
Partito Democratico
$16,285 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a strong position in Texas’s 23rd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s recent Republican voting patterns and the party’s primary outcome. Incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew in March after a scandal, allowing Herrera to secure the nomination without a runoff. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary but faces structural challenges in a district that favored the Republican presidential candidate by double digits in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, though national Democratic groups have targeted it amid the seat’s vacancy since April and local issues such as a recent screwworm outbreak. Limited public polling shows a narrow contest, leaving room for late shifts driven by turnout or candidate visibility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$39,330Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a strong position in Texas’s 23rd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s recent Republican voting patterns and the party’s primary outcome. Incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew in March after a scandal, allowing Herrera to secure the nomination without a runoff. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary but faces structural challenges in a district that favored the Republican presidential candidate by double digits in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, though national Democratic groups have targeted it amid the seat’s vacancy since April and local issues such as a recent screwworm outbreak. Limited public polling shows a narrow contest, leaving room for late shifts driven by turnout or candidate visibility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,330Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a strong position in Texas’s 23rd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s recent Republican voting patterns and the party’s primary outcome. Incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew in March after a scandal, allowing Herrera to secure the nomination without a runoff. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary but faces structural challenges in a district that favored the Republican presidential candidate by double digits in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, though national Democratic groups have targeted it amid the seat’s vacancy since April and local issues such as a recent screwworm outbreak. Limited public polling shows a narrow contest, leaving room for late shifts driven by turnout or candidate visibility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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