Trader consensus prices "No" at 81.5% for U.S. forces entering Gaza before 2027, reflecting explicit White House and Pentagon statements that no American troops will deploy into the enclave itself amid the Trump administration's phase two Gaza ceasefire plan. Recent developments, including a January 2026 leadership change for the U.S. Gaza mission amid role uncertainty and March commitments from Indonesia and Morocco for an International Stabilization Force (ISF), position non-U.S. personnel—primarily Indonesian troops—for any ground presence starting potentially in May, with American experts preparing infrastructure from Israel. U.S. deployments of around 200 troops to Israel for ceasefire monitoring and recent Middle East reinforcements against Iran tensions remain outside Gaza, underscoring political aversion to direct intervention amid high risks and no verified entry as of mid-April. Upcoming ISF timelines and Hamas disarmament talks could influence odds, but structural barriers sustain the heavy "No" lean.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLe forze statunitensi a Gaza prima del 2027?
Le forze statunitensi a Gaza prima del 2027?
$47,298 Vol.
$47,298 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$47,298 Vol.
$47,298 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 81.5% for U.S. forces entering Gaza before 2027, reflecting explicit White House and Pentagon statements that no American troops will deploy into the enclave itself amid the Trump administration's phase two Gaza ceasefire plan. Recent developments, including a January 2026 leadership change for the U.S. Gaza mission amid role uncertainty and March commitments from Indonesia and Morocco for an International Stabilization Force (ISF), position non-U.S. personnel—primarily Indonesian troops—for any ground presence starting potentially in May, with American experts preparing infrastructure from Israel. U.S. deployments of around 200 troops to Israel for ceasefire monitoring and recent Middle East reinforcements against Iran tensions remain outside Gaza, underscoring political aversion to direct intervention amid high risks and no verified entry as of mid-April. Upcoming ISF timelines and Hamas disarmament talks could influence odds, but structural barriers sustain the heavy "No" lean.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
Volume
$47,298Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 81.5% for U.S. forces entering Gaza before 2027, reflecting explicit White House and Pentagon statements that no American troops will deploy into the enclave itself amid the Trump administration's phase two Gaza ceasefire plan. Recent developments, including a January 2026 leadership change for the U.S. Gaza mission amid role uncertainty and March commitments from Indonesia and Morocco for an International Stabilization Force (ISF), position non-U.S. personnel—primarily Indonesian troops—for any ground presence starting potentially in May, with American experts preparing infrastructure from Israel. U.S. deployments of around 200 troops to Israel for ceasefire monitoring and recent Middle East reinforcements against Iran tensions remain outside Gaza, underscoring political aversion to direct intervention amid high risks and no verified entry as of mid-April. Upcoming ISF timelines and Hamas disarmament talks could influence odds, but structural barriers sustain the heavy "No" lean.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$47,298Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 81.5% for U.S. forces entering Gaza before 2027, reflecting explicit White House and Pentagon statements that no American troops will deploy into the enclave itself amid the Trump administration's phase two Gaza ceasefire plan. Recent developments, including a January 2026 leadership change for the U.S. Gaza mission amid role uncertainty and March commitments from Indonesia and Morocco for an International Stabilization Force (ISF), position non-U.S. personnel—primarily Indonesian troops—for any ground presence starting potentially in May, with American experts preparing infrastructure from Israel. U.S. deployments of around 200 troops to Israel for ceasefire monitoring and recent Middle East reinforcements against Iran tensions remain outside Gaza, underscoring political aversion to direct intervention amid high risks and no verified entry as of mid-April. Upcoming ISF timelines and Hamas disarmament talks could influence odds, but structural barriers sustain the heavy "No" lean.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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