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Elezioni·Trump

Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12

Market icon
Elezioni·Trump

Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12

Micah Lasher 48%

Alex Bores 30%

Jack Schlossberg 14%

George Conway 1.8%

Polymarket

$163,524 Vol.

Micah Lasher 48%

Alex Bores 30%

Jack Schlossberg 14%

George Conway 1.8%

Polymarket

$163,524 Vol.

Micah Lasher

$5,712 Vol.

48%

Alex Bores

$3,498 Vol.

30%

Jack Schlossberg

$7,369 Vol.

14%

George Conway

$1,673 Vol.

2%

Scott Stringer

$8,071 Vol.

1%

Brad Lander

$11,412 Vol.

1%

Lina Khan

$39,328 Vol.

1%

Liz Krueger

$37,054 Vol.

1%

Julie Menin

$23,068 Vol.

1%

Erik Bottcher

$2,094 Vol.

1%

Andrew Cuomo

$1,759 Vol.

<1%

Keith Powers

$3,415 Vol.

<1%

Cameron Kasky

$2,574 Vol.

<1%

Chelsea Clinton

$7,373 Vol.

<1%

Cynthia Nixon

$2,138 Vol.

<1%

Carolyn Maloney

$2,110 Vol.

<1%

Liam Elkind

$1,674 Vol.

<1%

Brad Hoylman-Sigal

$5,013 Vol.

<1%

Gale Brewer

$1,481 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Governor Kathy Hochul's April 13 endorsement of Assemblymember Micah Lasher, her former policy director, has driven trader consensus to position him as the frontrunner at 49.5% implied probability in the open NY-12 Democratic primary, boosting his establishment credentials alongside March backing from Michael Bloomberg's $5 million commitment and prior service for retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler. Assemblymember Alex Bores follows at 31%, fueled by over $2.2 million in early fundraising despite super PAC attacks and criticism of out-of-district donors. Jack Schlossberg sits third at 14% after leading some March polls via Kennedy family name recognition, amid a crowded field of 18 candidates ahead of the June 23 primary, where undecided voters and turnout in Manhattan's Upper East and West Sides could tip the balance.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$163,524
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Governor Kathy Hochul's April 13 endorsement of Assemblymember Micah Lasher, her former policy director, has driven trader consensus to position him as the frontrunner at 49.5% implied probability in the open NY-12 Democratic primary, boosting his establishment credentials alongside March backing from Michael Bloomberg's $5 million commitment and prior service for retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler. Assemblymember Alex Bores follows at 31%, fueled by over $2.2 million in early fundraising despite super PAC attacks and criticism of out-of-district donors. Jack Schlossberg sits third at 14% after leading some March polls via Kennedy family name recognition, amid a crowded field of 18 candidates ahead of the June 23 primary, where undecided voters and turnout in Manhattan's Upper East and West Sides could tip the balance.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$163,524
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 19 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Micah Lasher" a 48%, seguito da "Alex Bores" a 30%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 48¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 48% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12" ha generato $163.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 21, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12", esplora i 19 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12" è "Micah Lasher" a 48%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 48% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Alex Bores" a 30%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.