Anthropic’s active preparations for a November 2026 Nasdaq listing, following its June 1 confidential S-1 filing and strong revenue momentum exceeding $11 billion quarterly run-rate, drive the 95.7% market-implied probability it will IPO ahead of OpenAI. Sam Altman’s mid-September statements that a 2026 debut would be “ill-advised” amid AI safety and alignment priorities have pushed OpenAI’s timeline to 2027 despite its own June S-1 filing, creating clear sequencing. Traders view Anthropic’s roadshow plans, credit facility, and $2 trillion valuation target as executable within the current window. Realistic risks include further regulatory scrutiny on large language model risks, market volatility, or last-minute prospectus delays that could shift Anthropic later, though OpenAI acceleration appears unlikely given leadership comments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAnthropic o OpenAI IPO saranno i primi?
Anthropic o OpenAI IPO saranno i primi?
Anthropic
96% probabilità
$383,682 Vol.
$383,682 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
96% probabilità
$383,682 Vol.
$383,682 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s active preparations for a November 2026 Nasdaq listing, following its June 1 confidential S-1 filing and strong revenue momentum exceeding $11 billion quarterly run-rate, drive the 95.7% market-implied probability it will IPO ahead of OpenAI. Sam Altman’s mid-September statements that a 2026 debut would be “ill-advised” amid AI safety and alignment priorities have pushed OpenAI’s timeline to 2027 despite its own June S-1 filing, creating clear sequencing. Traders view Anthropic’s roadshow plans, credit facility, and $2 trillion valuation target as executable within the current window. Realistic risks include further regulatory scrutiny on large language model risks, market volatility, or last-minute prospectus delays that could shift Anthropic later, though OpenAI acceleration appears unlikely given leadership comments.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$383,682Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s active preparations for a November 2026 Nasdaq listing, following its June 1 confidential S-1 filing and strong revenue momentum exceeding $11 billion quarterly run-rate, drive the 95.7% market-implied probability it will IPO ahead of OpenAI. Sam Altman’s mid-September statements that a 2026 debut would be “ill-advised” amid AI safety and alignment priorities have pushed OpenAI’s timeline to 2027 despite its own June S-1 filing, creating clear sequencing. Traders view Anthropic’s roadshow plans, credit facility, and $2 trillion valuation target as executable within the current window. Realistic risks include further regulatory scrutiny on large language model risks, market volatility, or last-minute prospectus delays that could shift Anthropic later, though OpenAI acceleration appears unlikely given leadership comments.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$383,682Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s active preparations for a November 2026 Nasdaq listing, following its June 1 confidential S-1 filing and strong revenue momentum exceeding $11 billion quarterly run-rate, drive the 95.7% market-implied probability it will IPO ahead of OpenAI. Sam Altman’s mid-September statements that a 2026 debut would be “ill-advised” amid AI safety and alignment priorities have pushed OpenAI’s timeline to 2027 despite its own June S-1 filing, creating clear sequencing. Traders view Anthropic’s roadshow plans, credit facility, and $2 trillion valuation target as executable within the current window. Realistic risks include further regulatory scrutiny on large language model risks, market volatility, or last-minute prospectus delays that could shift Anthropic later, though OpenAI acceleration appears unlikely given leadership comments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
L'offerta pubblica iniziale di Anthropic avverrà a novembre 2026 (ET)?
48%
Sì
Anthropic o OpenAI: quale avrà una capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO più alta?
69%
Anthropic
La capitalizzazione di mercato di Anthropic sarà pari o superiore a 600 miliardi di dollari alla chiusura del mercato il giorno dell’IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027?
96%
Sì
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