Republican control of the House with a narrow majority remains the primary barrier to impeachment, requiring a simple majority vote that GOP leadership shows no inclination to pursue against their own president. Recent Democratic calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, spurred by Trump's April 7 social media post on Iran amid failed ceasefire talks—including Rep. John Larson's filing of H.Res. 939—have gained no procedural traction, with House Democratic leaders expressing caution to avoid political backlash ahead of November midterms. Traders' near-unanimous consensus at 97.4% "No" reflects the tight two-month timeline to June 30, lack of committee hearings, and historical reluctance for intra-party impeachment. Only a seismic scandal prompting mass GOP defections could shift odds, though none has materialized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$291,682 Vol.
$291,682 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$291,682 Vol.
$291,682 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House with a narrow majority remains the primary barrier to impeachment, requiring a simple majority vote that GOP leadership shows no inclination to pursue against their own president. Recent Democratic calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, spurred by Trump's April 7 social media post on Iran amid failed ceasefire talks—including Rep. John Larson's filing of H.Res. 939—have gained no procedural traction, with House Democratic leaders expressing caution to avoid political backlash ahead of November midterms. Traders' near-unanimous consensus at 97.4% "No" reflects the tight two-month timeline to June 30, lack of committee hearings, and historical reluctance for intra-party impeachment. Only a seismic scandal prompting mass GOP defections could shift odds, though none has materialized.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
Volume
$291,682Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House with a narrow majority remains the primary barrier to impeachment, requiring a simple majority vote that GOP leadership shows no inclination to pursue against their own president. Recent Democratic calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, spurred by Trump's April 7 social media post on Iran amid failed ceasefire talks—including Rep. John Larson's filing of H.Res. 939—have gained no procedural traction, with House Democratic leaders expressing caution to avoid political backlash ahead of November midterms. Traders' near-unanimous consensus at 97.4% "No" reflects the tight two-month timeline to June 30, lack of committee hearings, and historical reluctance for intra-party impeachment. Only a seismic scandal prompting mass GOP defections could shift odds, though none has materialized.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$291,682Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House with a narrow majority remains the primary barrier to impeachment, requiring a simple majority vote that GOP leadership shows no inclination to pursue against their own president. Recent Democratic calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, spurred by Trump's April 7 social media post on Iran amid failed ceasefire talks—including Rep. John Larson's filing of H.Res. 939—have gained no procedural traction, with House Democratic leaders expressing caution to avoid political backlash ahead of November midterms. Traders' near-unanimous consensus at 97.4% "No" reflects the tight two-month timeline to June 30, lack of committee hearings, and historical reluctance for intra-party impeachment. Only a seismic scandal prompting mass GOP defections could shift odds, though none has materialized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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