President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz without resolving Tehran's nuclear program, heightening tensions amid a fragile ceasefire that began in early April following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faced intense Senate and House questioning this week on the conflict's costs, Pentagon budget, and compliance with the War Powers Resolution, as the 60-day clock for congressional authorization approaches its May 1 deadline. Trump, briefed today by CENTCOM on fresh military options, stated only he knows the status of secretive talks, leaving open the possibility of restarting operations while trader consensus reflects uncertainty over escalation amid surging oil prices and Iranian threats against U.S. assets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill Trump declare war on Iran by...?
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
$1,166,132 Vol.
31 mar 2026
February 28
No
March 31
No
April 30
No
$1,166,132 Vol.
February 28
$327,021 Vol.
No
March 31
$225,076 Vol.
No
April 30
$614,036 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz without resolving Tehran's nuclear program, heightening tensions amid a fragile ceasefire that began in early April following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faced intense Senate and House questioning this week on the conflict's costs, Pentagon budget, and compliance with the War Powers Resolution, as the 60-day clock for congressional authorization approaches its May 1 deadline. Trump, briefed today by CENTCOM on fresh military options, stated only he knows the status of secretive talks, leaving open the possibility of restarting operations while trader consensus reflects uncertainty over escalation amid surging oil prices and Iranian threats against U.S. assets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 24, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$1,166,132Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 24, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz without resolving Tehran's nuclear program, heightening tensions amid a fragile ceasefire that began in early April following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faced intense Senate and House questioning this week on the conflict's costs, Pentagon budget, and compliance with the War Powers Resolution, as the 60-day clock for congressional authorization approaches its May 1 deadline. Trump, briefed today by CENTCOM on fresh military options, stated only he knows the status of secretive talks, leaving open the possibility of restarting operations while trader consensus reflects uncertainty over escalation amid surging oil prices and Iranian threats against U.S. assets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,166,132Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 24, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz without resolving Tehran's nuclear program, heightening tensions amid a fragile ceasefire that began in early April following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faced intense Senate and House questioning this week on the conflict's costs, Pentagon budget, and compliance with the War Powers Resolution, as the 60-day clock for congressional authorization approaches its May 1 deadline. Trump, briefed today by CENTCOM on fresh military options, stated only he knows the status of secretive talks, leaving open the possibility of restarting operations while trader consensus reflects uncertainty over escalation amid surging oil prices and Iranian threats against U.S. assets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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