President Trump has initiated extensive US military actions against Iran—including airstrikes, a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and support for Israeli operations—since early April 2026, following failed nuclear talks and a missed 60-day deadline, yet no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred, as required by the Constitution. Driving trader sentiment toward de-escalation, Trump stated on April 15 the conflict is "very close to over," hinting at resumed negotiations after last weekend's deadlock in Pakistan. The Senate's 52-47 rejection of a war powers resolution preserves executive flexibility. Key uncertainties include Iran's Strait compliance, proxy responses via Hezbollah, and potential diplomatic breakthroughs or further airstrikes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump dichiarerà guerra all'Iran entro...?
Trump dichiarerà guerra all'Iran entro...?
$829,725 Vol.
30 apr 2026
30 aprile
4%
$829,725 Vol.
30 aprile
$277,629 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has initiated extensive US military actions against Iran—including airstrikes, a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and support for Israeli operations—since early April 2026, following failed nuclear talks and a missed 60-day deadline, yet no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred, as required by the Constitution. Driving trader sentiment toward de-escalation, Trump stated on April 15 the conflict is "very close to over," hinting at resumed negotiations after last weekend's deadlock in Pakistan. The Senate's 52-47 rejection of a war powers resolution preserves executive flexibility. Key uncertainties include Iran's Strait compliance, proxy responses via Hezbollah, and potential diplomatic breakthroughs or further airstrikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Volume
$829,725Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has initiated extensive US military actions against Iran—including airstrikes, a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and support for Israeli operations—since early April 2026, following failed nuclear talks and a missed 60-day deadline, yet no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred, as required by the Constitution. Driving trader sentiment toward de-escalation, Trump stated on April 15 the conflict is "very close to over," hinting at resumed negotiations after last weekend's deadlock in Pakistan. The Senate's 52-47 rejection of a war powers resolution preserves executive flexibility. Key uncertainties include Iran's Strait compliance, proxy responses via Hezbollah, and potential diplomatic breakthroughs or further airstrikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$829,725Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has initiated extensive US military actions against Iran—including airstrikes, a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and support for Israeli operations—since early April 2026, following failed nuclear talks and a missed 60-day deadline, yet no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred, as required by the Constitution. Driving trader sentiment toward de-escalation, Trump stated on April 15 the conflict is "very close to over," hinting at resumed negotiations after last weekend's deadlock in Pakistan. The Senate's 52-47 rejection of a war powers resolution preserves executive flexibility. Key uncertainties include Iran's Strait compliance, proxy responses via Hezbollah, and potential diplomatic breakthroughs or further airstrikes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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