Trader consensus prices "No" at 87.5% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the rapid dissipation of early-year momentum around Greenland acquisition efforts. President Trump's January 2026 rhetoric threatening force or tariffs against Denmark's autonomous territory sparked a brief "Greenland crisis," prompting Republican bills like Rep. Fine's Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act and H.R.1161 for negotiations, but he reversed course at the Davos conference on January 21, pledging no coercive measures. Stiff opposition from NATO allies, Denmark, EU law constraints, blocking legislation like Rep. Gomez's Greenland Sovereignty Protection Act, and American public polls showing majority disapproval have stalled progress. No verifiable diplomatic or military developments in the past 30 days signal viability, underscoring constitutional treaty requirements, Senate hurdles, and historical precedents against territorial expansion amid competing foreign policy priorities like Indo-Pacific deterrence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$20,154 Vol.
$20,154 Vol.
$20,154 Vol.
$20,154 Vol.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 87.5% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the rapid dissipation of early-year momentum around Greenland acquisition efforts. President Trump's January 2026 rhetoric threatening force or tariffs against Denmark's autonomous territory sparked a brief "Greenland crisis," prompting Republican bills like Rep. Fine's Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act and H.R.1161 for negotiations, but he reversed course at the Davos conference on January 21, pledging no coercive measures. Stiff opposition from NATO allies, Denmark, EU law constraints, blocking legislation like Rep. Gomez's Greenland Sovereignty Protection Act, and American public polls showing majority disapproval have stalled progress. No verifiable diplomatic or military developments in the past 30 days signal viability, underscoring constitutional treaty requirements, Senate hurdles, and historical precedents against territorial expansion amid competing foreign policy priorities like Indo-Pacific deterrence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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