Trump administration rhetoric, including repeated statements on acquiring Greenland and provocative Truth Social maps depicting Canada, Mexico, and other areas as U.S. territory, has generated headlines but produced no official annexation. Denmark, Greenland, Canada, and Mexico have firmly rejected any transfer of sovereignty, citing international law prohibitions on forcible acquisition and NATO alliance strains. No congressional legislation, treaty negotiations, or executive orders have advanced formal claims by late 2026, while U.S. public opinion polls show opposition to military options. Traders assign "No" a 94.8% implied probability because these factors—combined with legal, diplomatic, and procedural barriers—make completion of any annexation before December 31 highly improbable absent unforeseen breakthroughs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
5% probabilità
$156,786 Vol.
$156,786 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
5% probabilità
$156,786 Vol.
$156,786 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump administration rhetoric, including repeated statements on acquiring Greenland and provocative Truth Social maps depicting Canada, Mexico, and other areas as U.S. territory, has generated headlines but produced no official annexation. Denmark, Greenland, Canada, and Mexico have firmly rejected any transfer of sovereignty, citing international law prohibitions on forcible acquisition and NATO alliance strains. No congressional legislation, treaty negotiations, or executive orders have advanced formal claims by late 2026, while U.S. public opinion polls show opposition to military options. Traders assign "No" a 94.8% implied probability because these factors—combined with legal, diplomatic, and procedural barriers—make completion of any annexation before December 31 highly improbable absent unforeseen breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$156,786Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump administration rhetoric, including repeated statements on acquiring Greenland and provocative Truth Social maps depicting Canada, Mexico, and other areas as U.S. territory, has generated headlines but produced no official annexation. Denmark, Greenland, Canada, and Mexico have firmly rejected any transfer of sovereignty, citing international law prohibitions on forcible acquisition and NATO alliance strains. No congressional legislation, treaty negotiations, or executive orders have advanced formal claims by late 2026, while U.S. public opinion polls show opposition to military options. Traders assign "No" a 94.8% implied probability because these factors—combined with legal, diplomatic, and procedural barriers—make completion of any annexation before December 31 highly improbable absent unforeseen breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$156,786Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Trump administration rhetoric, including repeated statements on acquiring Greenland and provocative Truth Social maps depicting Canada, Mexico, and other areas as U.S. territory, has generated headlines but produced no official annexation. Denmark, Greenland, Canada, and Mexico have firmly rejected any transfer of sovereignty, citing international law prohibitions on forcible acquisition and NATO alliance strains. No congressional legislation, treaty negotiations, or executive orders have advanced formal claims by late 2026, while U.S. public opinion polls show opposition to military options. Traders assign "No" a 94.8% implied probability because these factors—combined with legal, diplomatic, and procedural barriers—make completion of any annexation before December 31 highly improbable absent unforeseen breakthroughs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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