Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% for a U.S. invasion—defined as a military offensive to establish control over any Latin American land territory—reflecting the Trump administration's pivot to multilateralism amid stretched resources from Middle East conflicts and Indo-Pacific deterrence. The January 3 Venezuela operation, involving strikes to capture Nicolás Maduro without territorial occupation, set a precedent for targeted actions that fell short of resolution criteria. Recent catalysts include the March 7 announcement of a 17-nation anti-cartel coalition and joint U.S.-Ecuadorian operations against narco-terrorists on March 3. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's March 5 call for allied military cooperation against drug gangs emphasizes partnerships over unilateral escalation, with no acute crises in Mexico, Nicaragua, or Cuba signaling further invasions by year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$206,936 Vol.
$206,936 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$206,936 Vol.
$206,936 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% for a U.S. invasion—defined as a military offensive to establish control over any Latin American land territory—reflecting the Trump administration's pivot to multilateralism amid stretched resources from Middle East conflicts and Indo-Pacific deterrence. The January 3 Venezuela operation, involving strikes to capture Nicolás Maduro without territorial occupation, set a precedent for targeted actions that fell short of resolution criteria. Recent catalysts include the March 7 announcement of a 17-nation anti-cartel coalition and joint U.S.-Ecuadorian operations against narco-terrorists on March 3. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's March 5 call for allied military cooperation against drug gangs emphasizes partnerships over unilateral escalation, with no acute crises in Mexico, Nicaragua, or Cuba signaling further invasions by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$206,936Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% for a U.S. invasion—defined as a military offensive to establish control over any Latin American land territory—reflecting the Trump administration's pivot to multilateralism amid stretched resources from Middle East conflicts and Indo-Pacific deterrence. The January 3 Venezuela operation, involving strikes to capture Nicolás Maduro without territorial occupation, set a precedent for targeted actions that fell short of resolution criteria. Recent catalysts include the March 7 announcement of a 17-nation anti-cartel coalition and joint U.S.-Ecuadorian operations against narco-terrorists on March 3. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's March 5 call for allied military cooperation against drug gangs emphasizes partnerships over unilateral escalation, with no acute crises in Mexico, Nicaragua, or Cuba signaling further invasions by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$206,936Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% for a U.S. invasion—defined as a military offensive to establish control over any Latin American land territory—reflecting the Trump administration's pivot to multilateralism amid stretched resources from Middle East conflicts and Indo-Pacific deterrence. The January 3 Venezuela operation, involving strikes to capture Nicolás Maduro without territorial occupation, set a precedent for targeted actions that fell short of resolution criteria. Recent catalysts include the March 7 announcement of a 17-nation anti-cartel coalition and joint U.S.-Ecuadorian operations against narco-terrorists on March 3. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's March 5 call for allied military cooperation against drug gangs emphasizes partnerships over unilateral escalation, with no acute crises in Mexico, Nicaragua, or Cuba signaling further invasions by year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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