Venezuelan crude oil production surged to 1.1 million barrels per day in March 2026—up from 1.0 million in February—propelled by U.S. sanctions relief, including OFAC's General License 50A in February and broad authorizations for PDVSA transactions in March, enabling Chevron's operations. Chevron's April 13 asset swap further consolidated its heavy oil joint ventures in the Orinoco Belt, boosting output capacity amid elevated Brent crude prices incentivizing investment. U.S. Energy Secretary projections indicate a potential 30-40% annual rise, aligning with EIA forecasts for pre-sanctions levels by mid-2026, supported by $1.4 billion in planned foreign capital. Traders monitor monthly OPEC and EIA data releases for April-May, alongside PDVSA reforms and license renewals, as operational bottlenecks like diluent shortages persist.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$92,421 Vol.
28 feb 2027
1 milione
93%
1,1 milioni
69%
1,2 milioni
34%
1,3 milioni
26%
1,4 milioni
14%
1,5 milioni
11%
1,7 milioni
12%
2 milioni
5%
$92,421 Vol.
1 milione
$24,511 Vol.
93%
1,1 milioni
$13,759 Vol.
69%
1,2 milioni
$8,623 Vol.
34%
1,3 milioni
$5,914 Vol.
26%
1,4 milioni
$16,330 Vol.
14%
1,5 milioni
$7,457 Vol.
11%
1,7 milioni
$3,436 Vol.
12%
2 milioni
$12,390 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil production surged to 1.1 million barrels per day in March 2026—up from 1.0 million in February—propelled by U.S. sanctions relief, including OFAC's General License 50A in February and broad authorizations for PDVSA transactions in March, enabling Chevron's operations. Chevron's April 13 asset swap further consolidated its heavy oil joint ventures in the Orinoco Belt, boosting output capacity amid elevated Brent crude prices incentivizing investment. U.S. Energy Secretary projections indicate a potential 30-40% annual rise, aligning with EIA forecasts for pre-sanctions levels by mid-2026, supported by $1.4 billion in planned foreign capital. Traders monitor monthly OPEC and EIA data releases for April-May, alongside PDVSA reforms and license renewals, as operational bottlenecks like diluent shortages persist.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volume
$92,421Data di fine
28 feb 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil production surged to 1.1 million barrels per day in March 2026—up from 1.0 million in February—propelled by U.S. sanctions relief, including OFAC's General License 50A in February and broad authorizations for PDVSA transactions in March, enabling Chevron's operations. Chevron's April 13 asset swap further consolidated its heavy oil joint ventures in the Orinoco Belt, boosting output capacity amid elevated Brent crude prices incentivizing investment. U.S. Energy Secretary projections indicate a potential 30-40% annual rise, aligning with EIA forecasts for pre-sanctions levels by mid-2026, supported by $1.4 billion in planned foreign capital. Traders monitor monthly OPEC and EIA data releases for April-May, alongside PDVSA reforms and license renewals, as operational bottlenecks like diluent shortages persist.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Volume
$92,421Data di fine
28 feb 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan crude oil production surged to 1.1 million barrels per day in March 2026—up from 1.0 million in February—propelled by U.S. sanctions relief, including OFAC's General License 50A in February and broad authorizations for PDVSA transactions in March, enabling Chevron's operations. Chevron's April 13 asset swap further consolidated its heavy oil joint ventures in the Orinoco Belt, boosting output capacity amid elevated Brent crude prices incentivizing investment. U.S. Energy Secretary projections indicate a potential 30-40% annual rise, aligning with EIA forecasts for pre-sanctions levels by mid-2026, supported by $1.4 billion in planned foreign capital. Traders monitor monthly OPEC and EIA data releases for April-May, alongside PDVSA reforms and license renewals, as operational bottlenecks like diluent shortages persist.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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