Xi Jinping’s firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and military underpins the 95.3% implied probability that he remains in power through 2026. Ongoing high-level purges of senior officials and generals, combined with appointments of trusted allies to key posts such as the Central Party School, have reinforced elite loyalty ahead of the 21st Party Congress expected in late 2027. At age 73, Xi shows no public signs of stepping down and continues to shape policy on economic self-reliance, military modernization, and party discipline without evident internal rivals. Traders view abrupt removal as improbable absent a sudden health crisis or unprecedented elite fracture, outcomes that lack supporting evidence in recent developments.