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Politica·Ucraina

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Market icon
Politica·Ucraina

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

giu 30

dic 31

giu 30

dic 31

4% probabilità
Polymarket

$150,983 Vol.

4% probabilità
Polymarket

$150,983 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Under Ukraine's constitution, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains in office beyond his May 2024 term expiration due to martial law—enacted since Russia's 2022 invasion—which prohibits presidential elections until lifted, a condition tied to a ceasefire and security guarantees. Recent parliamentary extensions of martial law into 2026, coupled with Zelenskyy's February statements ruling out polls absent peace, solidify this continuity, driving trader consensus to 96% against his exit by June 30. No impeachment proceedings, resignations, or snap election mechanisms are active amid ongoing military escalations like January drone strikes. While improbable, a sudden diplomatic breakthrough enabling elections or an unforeseen health/legal event could shift odds before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$150,983
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Under Ukraine's constitution, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains in office beyond his May 2024 term expiration due to martial law—enacted since Russia's 2022 invasion—which prohibits presidential elections until lifted, a condition tied to a ceasefire and security guarantees. Recent parliamentary extensions of martial law into 2026, coupled with Zelenskyy's February statements ruling out polls absent peace, solidify this continuity, driving trader consensus to 96% against his exit by June 30. No impeachment proceedings, resignations, or snap election mechanisms are active amid ongoing military escalations like January drone strikes. While improbable, a sudden diplomatic breakthrough enabling elections or an unforeseen health/legal event could shift odds before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$150,983
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 4% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 4¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 4% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?" ha generato $151K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 17, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?" è 4% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 4% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.