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政治·ブルガリア

ブルガリアの議会選挙：どの政党が議会に入りますか？

Market icon
政治·ブルガリア

ブルガリアの議会選挙：どの政党が議会に入りますか？

$104,002 Vol.

2026/04/19
Polymarket

$104,002 Vol.

Polymarket
統一左翼（BSP）は2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で少なくとも1議席を獲得しますか？ icon

BSP

$30,782 Vol.

47%

道徳、団結、名誉（MECh）は2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で少なくとも1議席を獲得しますか？ icon

MECh

$7,028 Vol.

19%

ヴェリチエ（ヴェリチエ）は2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で少なくとも1議席を獲得しますか？ icon

ヴェリチエ

$40,561 Vol.

10%

2026年ブルガリア議会選挙で、「そんな人々がいる（ITN）」は少なくとも1議席を獲得しますか？ icon

ITN

$11,769 Vol.

2%

アライアンス・フォー・ライツ・アンド・フリーダムズ（APS）は2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で少なくとも1議席を獲得しますか？ icon

APS

$13,863 Vol.

2%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election in five years on April 19, triggered by the December 2025 resignation of the Zhelyazkov government amid mass protests over the budget and corruption allegations, followed by failed coalition formation attempts. Latest polls from April 14, including CAM and Market Links, show former President Rumen Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading decisively at 32-37%, well ahead of GERB-SDS at 19-22%, with Democratic Bulgaria (DB), Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS), and Revival (Vazrazhdane) poised to exceed the 4% proportional representation threshold for National Assembly seats, while BSP hovers near it. Voter turnout intentions stand at 51% amid apathy and vote-buying scandals prompting a special anti-fraud unit, hotline, and OSCE/ODIHR plus PACE observers; fragmented results will hinge on post-election coalition negotiations for a 121-seat majority.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
音量
$104,002
終了日
2026/04/19
マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election in five years on April 19, triggered by the December 2025 resignation of the Zhelyazkov government amid mass protests over the budget and corruption allegations, followed by failed coalition formation attempts. Latest polls from April 14, including CAM and Market Links, show former President Rumen Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading decisively at 32-37%, well ahead of GERB-SDS at 19-22%, with Democratic Bulgaria (DB), Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS), and Revival (Vazrazhdane) poised to exceed the 4% proportional representation threshold for National Assembly seats, while BSP hovers near it. Voter turnout intentions stand at 51% amid apathy and vote-buying scandals prompting a special anti-fraud unit, hotline, and OSCE/ODIHR plus PACE observers; fragmented results will hinge on post-election coalition negotiations for a 121-seat majority.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
音量
$104,002
終了日
2026/04/19
マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

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よくある質問

「ブルガリアの議会選挙：どの政党が議会に入りますか？」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「BSP」で47%、次いで「MECh」が19%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、47¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に47%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ブルガリアの議会選挙：どの政党が議会に入りますか？」は$104Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 27, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ブルガリアの議会選挙：どの政党が議会に入りますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ブルガリアの議会選挙：どの政党が議会に入りますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「BSP」で47%であり、市場がこの結果に47%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「MECh」で19%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ブルガリアの議会選挙：どの政党が議会に入りますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。