Incumbent José Maria Neves holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the November 15, 2026, Cape Verde presidential election, supported by his PAICV party's recent parliamentary gains that shifted the balance of power in the National Assembly. Primary challengers from the MpD, including Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, trail with lower implied probabilities amid fragmented opposition support. The direct two-round electoral system favors candidates who can secure an outright majority, and Neves benefits from incumbency advantages and party organizational strength following the 2021 first-round win. No major late developments have altered the positioning, with candidate filings and voter registration deadlines now passed and attention turning to the campaign period ahead of election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジョゼ・マリア・ネヴェス 69%
ジャニーヌ・レリス 12%
カジミロ・デ・ピナ 9%
ジョアナ・ローザ 7.0%
新規
新規
2026/11/15
ジョゼ・マリア・ネヴェス
69%
ジャニーヌ・レリス
12%
カジミロ・デ・ピナ
9%
ジョアナ・ローザ
10%
ペリクレス・タヴァレス
5%
ミルトン・パイヴァ
3%
フェルナンド・デルガド
1%
ジョゼ・マリア・ネヴェス 69%
ジャニーヌ・レリス 12%
カジミロ・デ・ピナ 9%
ジョアナ・ローザ 7.0%
新規
新規
2026/11/15
ジョゼ・マリア・ネヴェス
$3,172 Vol.
69%
ジャニーヌ・レリス
$672 Vol.
12%
カジミロ・デ・ピナ
$394 Vol.
9%
ジョアナ・ローザ
$485 Vol.
10%
ペリクレス・タヴァレス
$421 Vol.
5%
ミルトン・パイヴァ
$394 Vol.
3%
フェルナンド・デルガド
$375 Vol.
1%
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).Incumbent José Maria Neves holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the November 15, 2026, Cape Verde presidential election, supported by his PAICV party's recent parliamentary gains that shifted the balance of power in the National Assembly. Primary challengers from the MpD, including Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, trail with lower implied probabilities amid fragmented opposition support. The direct two-round electoral system favors candidates who can secure an outright majority, and Neves benefits from incumbency advantages and party organizational strength following the 2021 first-round win. No major late developments have altered the positioning, with candidate filings and voter registration deadlines now passed and attention turning to the campaign period ahead of election day.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET
音量
$5,913終了日
2026/11/15マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).Incumbent José Maria Neves holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the November 15, 2026, Cape Verde presidential election, supported by his PAICV party's recent parliamentary gains that shifted the balance of power in the National Assembly. Primary challengers from the MpD, including Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, trail with lower implied probabilities amid fragmented opposition support. The direct two-round electoral system favors candidates who can secure an outright majority, and Neves benefits from incumbency advantages and party organizational strength following the 2021 first-round win. No major late developments have altered the positioning, with candidate filings and voter registration deadlines now passed and attention turning to the campaign period ahead of election day.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
音量
$5,913終了日
2026/11/15マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent José Maria Neves holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the November 15, 2026, Cape Verde presidential election, supported by his PAICV party's recent parliamentary gains that shifted the balance of power in the National Assembly. Primary challengers from the MpD, including Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, trail with lower implied probabilities amid fragmented opposition support. The direct two-round electoral system favors candidates who can secure an outright majority, and Neves benefits from incumbency advantages and party organizational strength following the 2021 first-round win. No major late developments have altered the positioning, with candidate filings and voter registration deadlines now passed and attention turning to the campaign period ahead of election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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